Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ softer as focus turns to Bernanke testimony

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ softer as focus turns to Bernanke testimony
May 21st 2013, 21:27

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Tue May 21, 2013 5:27pm EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0268 versus US$ or 97.39 U.S. cents      * U.S. dips after comments by Fed officials on Tuesday      * Fed chairman Bernanke to speak on Wednesday      * Bond prices higher across the curve        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, May 21 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar softened  against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday but was off its session  low after comments by U.S. Federal Reserve officials trimmed  expectations that the U.S. central bank might rein in its  ultra-easy monetary policy.       Two senior Fed officials played down the chances that the  central bank would signal a readiness to curtail its bond buying  program at its meeting next month, dampening earlier speculation  spurred by persistent talk from more hawkish Fed officials.         "It's definitely the talk du jour - whether or not the Fed  will begin to taper. The market does have a ... sort of  expectation that they will start to talk about tapering a little  bit sooner," said Mazen Issa, macro strategist at TD Securities.      "Our general view is that, it's still a little bit early to  start talking about it...but the market is definitely keeping  their ears open."      The U.S. dollar slipped on the latest Fed comments.       The Canadian dollar finished the session at  C$1.0268 versus the U.S. dollar, or 97.39 U.S. cents, weaker  than Monday's finish of C$1.0241, or 97.65 U.S. cents. Earlier,  it touched C$1.0321, or 96.89 U.S. cents, its lowest level since  March 7.      Canadian equity and bond markets were closed on Monday for  the Victoria Day holiday, leaving most trading desks at Canadian  banks unstaffed.      The currency was up from Friday's North American finish of  C$1.0291, or 97.17 U.S. cents. It shed about 1.8 percent of its  value against the greenback last week.      U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify  before Congress on Wednesday and market watchers will parse his  comments for hints on the direction of Fed policy.      "It seems like they've got a bit of a sustained PR campaign  going on it, and the market is reacting accordingly," said John  Curran, senior vice president at CanadianForex.      Curran noted that Bernanke himself has not made any comments  so far. The U.S. dollar may weaken if Bernanke reiterates his  ultra-loose monetary policy stance, but is likely to strengthen  further if he provides some hint that asset purchases could be  wound down later this year.      In Canada, retail sales figures on Wednesday are the only  domestic data before the Bank of Canada issues its next rate  announcement next week. The bank is expected to hold rates  steady.      Analysts polled are expecting a 0.1 percent increase in  retail sales in March.      "There's probably some scope for some weakening in the  Canadian dollar just given that our expectation is that we're  actually going to see a modest decline in retail sales. The  market's just looking for a very modest positive," Issa said.      The price of Canadian government debt was generally higher  across the curve. The two-year bond was flat, with a  yield of 1.010 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond   rose 12 Canadian cents to yield 1.913 percent.  
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