Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico peso rallies on reform optimism, Fitch eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico peso rallies on reform optimism, Fitch eyed
May 8th 2013, 00:05

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Tue May 7, 2013 8:05pm EDT

  * Deal to restart talks on economic reforms lifts peso      * Talk of rating action further supports Mexican currency      * Mexican peso up 0.74 pct, Brazil real gains 0.2 pct          By Noe Torres      MEXICO CITY, May 7 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso firmed sharply  on Tuesday after opposition parties said they would resume talks  on economic reforms with the government following a spat over  local elections.      Opposition leaders said they had agreed with President  Enrique Pena Nieto's ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party  (PRI) on new measures to prevent vote buying in upcoming local  elections, allowing work on reforms to continue.       Pena Nieto was set to present on Wednesday a financial  proposal that was recently derailed by allegations his party was  using funds meant for a social program to buy votes.       Optimism that Pena Nieto will be able to push major economic  reforms through the country's divided Congress has helped the  peso gain 7 percent this year.       "The market is pricing in that they are looking for ways to  push the reforms through in the next congressional session,"  said Mario Copca, an analyst at CI Banco in Mexico City.       Mexican lawmakers went on break this month and both houses  are set to resume in September.      The Mexican currency gained 0.74 percent to 12.0203  per dollar, leaving the currency near the 20-month high it hit  last month.      Talk that Fitch Ratings could soon raise its outlook on  Mexico's BBB credit rating to positive from stable also  supported the peso.      A positive outlook would signal that the rating agency is  considering upgrading Mexico's credit rating in the next 18  months or so.       A spokeswoman for Fitch said the company does not comment on  market rumors. A little over two months ago, however, the firm  said Mexico's ratings will depend on progress the new  administration makes on reforms to boost competitiveness,  productivity, growth and fiscal flexibility.       A formal review of Mexico's ratings was expected for this  month, Fitch's analyst Shelly Shetty told Reuters in an  interview in June 2012.       In Brazil, the real  rose 0.23 percent as  traders cited small dollar inflows in an otherwise quiet market.      "As net flows have been fairly muted, any inflow or outflow  results in exchange rate variations that have been modest in  general," said Waldir Kiel, an economist with H.Commcor  brokerage in Sao Paulo.            Latin American FX prices at 2300 GMT:   Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0068     0.23     1.65                                                  Mexico peso               12.0203     0.74     7.02                                                  Chile peso               470.3000    -0.21     1.79                                                  Colombia peso           1827.4000     0.09    -3.36                                                  Peru sol                   2.6140    -0.04    -2.41                                                  Argentina peso             5.2100    -0.05    -5.71     Argentina peso            10.0400    -1.69   -32.47  
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