Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar firms as Fed suspense builds, shares off highs

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar firms as Fed suspense builds, shares off highs
May 21st 2013, 07:38

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Tue May 21, 2013 4:50am EDT

  * Dollar index firmer, but down from near 3-year high      * European shares lower after recent highs      * Gold, silver steady        By Marc Jones      LONDON, May 21 (Reuters) - The dollar edged up, gold  steadied and European shares held near five-year highs on  Tuesday as investors look out for U.S. Federal Reserve signals  on the future of its stimulus programme.      Upbeat comments from Chicago policymaker Charles Evans have  made Wednesday's release of minutes of the U.S. central bank's  last meeting and Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony in  Congress the same day the main focus for markets.      The usually dovish Evans said on Monday that as long as the  recent pickup in the U.S. jobs market continued he was  "open-minded" about slowing the Fed's $85 billion a month  bond-buying programme, and he even mentioned the idea of simply  halting it.       The dollar was up 0.25 percent against a basket of  major currencies as mid-morning approached in Europe, although  that was comfortably below its recent three-year high.      Economists expect Fed Chairman Bernanke to deliver a steady  message on the bank's policy when he speaks to U.S. Congress.  But any hint that it plans to wind in its support in the coming  months could unsettle markets used to a steady drip of stimulus.      Having hit a five-year high on Monday, top European shares   were 0.3 percent lower by 0815 GMT as investors took  the pre-Fed uncertainty as a cue to cash in on some of the  recent sharp gains.      "With the economic numbers being pretty good in the States,  there may be an easing back of QE (quantitative easing  bond-buying stimulus) sooner rather than later," said Berkeley  Futures associate director Richard Griffiths.      "The DAX and Euro STOXX have moved ahead a lot more than the  UK, so in the event of any profit-taking in the U.S., the  European markets may drop just that little bit more."       It was a similar story in the bond market, where safe-haven  German Bund futures lost ground. If the Fed does slow  its bond-buying it will effectively be a tightening of monetary  policy and thereby push up benchmark bond yields.             YEN, METALS YO-YO      Currency and stock markets across Asia were largely subdued,  although Japan's Nikkei index managed to creep up to a fresh  5-1/2 year high and the yen gave back some of Monday's  minor gains.      The yen's move came after Japan's economy minister said his  comments the previous day that the government was now satisfied  with the level of the currency had been misinterpreted.      "The Japanese yen story is still very much the same as it  has been all along," said Societe Generale strategist Kit  Juckes.      "Any correction in the dollar yen has been shallower than  people who wanted big dips to make money out of could look for.  And those who think it is a turn are being repeatedly thwarted."      After a recent rollercoaster ride in precious metals, gold   steadied around $1,390 an ounce, although the stronger  dollar left it facing its eighth fall in nine sessions.       But silver fell as much as 2.2 percent to trade near the  2-1/2-year lows hit during a 6 percent slide on Monday, when an  unidentified investor sold off a large holding.      The metal has fallen out of favour with investors recently  as declining demand from the photovoltaic solar energy sector  and a growth in mine supply tarnish the outlook.      Spot silver XAG= was down around 1.2 percent at $22.65 an  ounce. It hit a session low earlier of $22.41, not far off the  2-1/2 year low of $20.84 on Monday.  
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