Friday, May 10, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies drop on Fed stimulus concern

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies drop on Fed stimulus concern
May 10th 2013, 21:39

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Fri May 10, 2013 5:39pm EDT

  * Fears of smaller Fed stimulus roil Latam markets for 2nd  day      * Mexico's weak industrial output, central bank minutes  weigh on peso      * Mexico peso drops 0.7 pct, Brazil real falls 0.4 pct        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, May 10 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies  weakened for a second day on Friday as concern that the U.S.  Federal Reserve could scale back its stimulus program weighed on  risk assets, boosting investors' appetite for the dollar  instead.      Mexico's peso led losses in the region after weak  industrial production data for March and central bank minutes  that highlighted risks to growth fueled expectations of further  interest rate cuts in Latin America's second-largest economy.         The peso dropped 0.9 percent and returned to the level of 12  per dollar as some investors feared that lower interest rates  could reduce the appeal of Mexican assets to foreign investors.  Just two days ago, the Mexican currency had strengthened past  the 12-per-dollar mark for the first time in 21 months.       Brazil's real  weakened 0.4 percent to 2.0238,  nearing a level that, according to analysts, could trigger a  central bank intervention.      Comments by Esther George, head of the Kansas City Fed, that  she hoped the central bank would be able to reduce the stimulus  fueled concerns about the future of the Federal Reserve's  bond-buying program.       "There were some comments from a Fed official and the market  saw the possibility of less stimulus," said Jose Carlos Amado, a  trader with Renascenca brokerage in Sao Paulo. "The market had  been very quiet and took that as an excuse to move prices."      Despite such concerns, other analysts noted that Japan's  unprecedented monetary stimulus should continue to support the  appetite for emerging market assets for many months to come.      "Even if the U.S. was to unwind its monetary stimulus, Japan  will still be a force to reckon with. Japan is doing a very  aggressive monetary stimulus and they could do more," said  Kathryn Rooney Vera, Latin America strategist with Miami-based  BullTick Capital Markets.      She noted that despite the recent positive jobs data in the  United States, she does not believe the Fed is in a position to  cut off its monetary stimulus.                    Latin American FX prices at 2100 GMT:         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0238    -0.43     0.80                                                  Mexico peso               12.0840    -0.73     6.46                                                  Chile peso               473.7000    -0.36     1.06                                                  Colombia peso           1833.8500    -0.20    -3.70                                                  Peru sol                   2.6010    -0.04    -1.92                                                  Argentina peso             5.2275    -0.10    -6.03     Argentina peso             9.9800     4.71   -32.06  
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