Friday, June 28, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar gains on yen as traders eye yield differentials

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Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar gains on yen as traders eye yield differentials
Jun 28th 2013, 06:42

Fri Jun 28, 2013 2:42am EDT

  * Fed's Dudley and Powell play down worries of stimulus  tapering      * Quarter-end adjusting seen helping lift euro        By Lisa Twaronite and Ian Chua      TOKYO/SYDNEY, June 28 (Reuters) - The dollar scaled a  two-and-a-half week peak against the yen in Asia on Friday, but  lost ground against the euro as last minute positioning ahead of  the end of the month and quarter helped the common currency.      Two more Federal Reserve officials sought to play down fears  over the U.S. central bank's plan to gradually reduce stimulus,  but some strategists and market participants say yield  differentials still favouring the dollar, compared to the yen in  particular.      "U.S. bond yields have come off a little bit in the last  couple of days, but I think the environment we're in is still  dollar-positive," said Mitul Kotecha, the global head of  foreign-exchange strategy at Credit Agricole in Hong Kong.      While the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was  lower on Friday, it remains not far from this week's high of  2.66 percent touched on Monday, which was its highest since  August 2011.       By contrast, the benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond  yield has remained mired in a range between 0.8  percent and 0.9 percent in recent weeks.       Japanese economic data on Friday signalled steady economic  growth, but economists believe it may take more time to achieve  sustained rises in prices even as the government's expansionary  policies are making some progress towards ending years of  entrenched deflation.       Japan's consumer prices stopped falling in May and labour  demand reached its strongest level in five years, but the BOJ's  two-year time frame for achieving its 2 percent inflation target  still appears overly ambitious.          Against the yen, the dollar advanced 0.4 percent to 98.75   after rising to 99.03 yen earlier, its highest since June  11.           "Dollar-yen remains unstable ahead of next week's payroll  data," said Masashi Murata, senior currency strategist at Brown  Brothers Harriman.      But he noted that concerns about China's credit crunch were  fading, as the Chinese central bank pledged to ensure reasonable  lending growth and market stability.                    The dollar index, which tracks the greenback's performance  against a basket of major currencies, edged slightly down from  late U.S. levels to 82.853 , but was still not far  below Thursday's high of 83.171, a peak not seen since June 3.      The index was on track for its second straight week of gains  and its biggest two-week rally since November 2011.      The euro added 0.3 percent to $1.3064, pushing away  from Wednesday's four-week trough around $1.2983.       Investors turned positive on the dollar since Fed Chairman  Ben Bernanke last week laid out a roadmap for scaling back its  asset-buying stimulus programme if the economy continued to  improve.       The looming end of easy money sparked a sell-off in  equities, government bonds, emerging market assets and commodity  currencies.      Downward revisions to U.S. first quarter gross domestic  product data on Wednesday curbed the dollar's rise, suggesting  that the Fed might hold off on tapering its stimulus.       Central bank policymakers also sought to soothe market  nerves this week. New York Fed President William Dudley and Fed  Governor Jerome Powell were the latest to do so, with Dudley  going as far as saying that recent market expectations for an  earlier rate rise are "quite out of sync" with the statements  and expectations of the policy-making Federal Open Market  Committee.       Sterling remained under pressure after Thursday's downward  revisions to GDP, and particularly business investment, bucked  the recent trend of improving data. The pound was down 0.1  percent at $1.5264, well off this month's peak of  $1.5751.          Data later in the day includes the Chicago PMI index, a  barometer of Midwest business activity, and the final reading of  U.S. consumer sentiment for June.  
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