Friday, September 27, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie weakens as U.S. budget woes weigh

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie weakens as U.S. budget woes weigh
Sep 27th 2013, 14:10

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Fri Sep 27, 2013 10:10am EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0311 versus US$ or 96.98 U.S. cents      * Worries over U.S. budget impasse keep C$ range-bound      * Bond prices higher across the curve        By Leah Schnurr      TORONTO, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened  modestly against the greenback on Friday and was likely to trade  in a narrow range amid uncertainty over whether U.S.  congressional lawmakers would reach agreement to keep the  government running and avoid a debt default.      U.S. House of Representatives Republicans on Thursday  refused to give in to President Barack Obama's demand for  straightforward bills to run the government beyond Sept. 30 and  to increase borrowing authority to avoid a historic default.         Investors are concerned about the ramifications of a  shutdown and possible default on a still-fragile economic  recovery in the United States, Canada's largest trading partner.      While the uncertainty was keeping the Canadian dollar stuck  in a range, along with other major currencies, the loonie has  the potential to benefit from some safe-haven buying if  risk-aversion enters the markets, said Dean Popplewell, chief  currency strategist at OANDA in Toronto.      "If there's any risk being applied out there, certainly the  Canadian dollar will do a wee bit better," he said.      The Canadian dollar was at C$1.0311, or 96.98 U.S.  cents, weaker than Thursday's close of 1.0313, or 96.96 U.S.  cents.       Portfolio reshuffling heading into the end of the month and  quarter could also lead to some gyrations in the loonie, said  Popplewell.      "There's certainly a demand for U.S. dollars on most  people's books, and you will probably see an unexplained price  movement toward owning U.S. dollars" that could lead to some  selling in the Canadian dollar, said Popplewell.       While the budget impasse has shifted some attention away  from the U.S. Federal Reserve's surprising recent decision not  to scale back its massive bond purchases, investors continued to  sift through policymakers' comments for insight on when the Fed  may begin its stimulus wind-down.      The Canadian dollar hit a three-month high in the wake of  the Fed's announcement last week, but has since pulled back.      On Friday, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said there  was a decent chance the central bank could reduce the pace of  its $85 billion a month in bond purchases this year, but there  were risks that could delay it to next year.       With the importance the labor market plays in the direction  of monetary policy, attention was already turning to next week's  U.S. unemployment report. The economy is expected to have added  180,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate is seen  edging up to 7.3 percent.       Prices for Canadian government bonds were higher. The  two-year bond was up 1.2 Canadian cent to yield 1.210  percent. The benchmark 10-year bond rose 32 Canadian  cents to yield 2.551 percent.  
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