Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ softens to one-week low as Fed, U.S. budget eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ softens to one-week low as Fed, U.S. budget eyed
Sep 25th 2013, 20:51

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Wed Sep 25, 2013 4:51pm EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0313 against U.S. dollar      * Focus stays on U.S. budget, Fed-tapering uncertainty      * Bond prices mostly higher across the curve          By Leah Schnurr      TORONTO, Sept 25 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar touched its  lowest level in a week on Wednesday as a lack of domestic  catalysts turned market focus to the path of monetary policy in  the United States and a potential shutdown of the government of  the world's biggest economy.      After the U.S. Federal Reserve's recent unexpected decision  to maintain the pace of its stimulative bond-buying program,  investors have been combing through the comments of Fed  policymakers, seeking insight on how long the stimulus measures  will continue.      With more officials scheduled to speak through the rest of  the week and no major Canadian economic data on tap, the  question of when the Fed will reduce its massive economic  stimulus is likely to hold the market's attention.      "The Fed statement itself, the Q&A session afterwards and  the plethora of Fed speakers we've seen this week have not  really provided much clarity," said Greg Moore, FX strategist at  TD Securities.       "That's why we've had this lack of strong direction in the  markets."      The Canadian dollar ended at C$1.0313 to the U.S.  dollar, or 96.96 U.S. cents, weaker than Tuesday's session close  of C$1.0302, or 97.07 U.S. cents. It earlier hit its lowest  level since Sept. 17, the day before the Fed announcement.      The Fed is currently buying $85 billion in bonds a month to  keep borrowing costs low to prop up the U.S. economic recovery.  The Canadian dollar touched a three-month high in the wake of  the Fed's decision to stand pat, but has since pulled back.      "Commodity currencies, and the Canadian dollar included,  have come off their highs reached right after the Fed  announcement. A lot of that has to do with the subtle risk  aversion that we've seen creep into the markets the past few  days," Moore said.      Part of that wariness results from investors turning their  attention to the possibility of a U.S. budget impasse in  Congress that could shut down government.       The U.S. Senate voted unanimously on Wednesday to begin  advancing legislation to avert government agency shutdowns that  could begin with the new fiscal year at the start of October.  Still, tough fights in the Senate and the House remain.         Separately, another political battle over raising the U.S.  government debt ceiling looms before long. Failure to increase  the $16.7 trillion borrowing limit could force Washington to  begin defaulting on its obligations.       Republican leaders in the House of Representatives notified  members that a vote on raising the debt limit could come as  early as Friday.      "The debt ceiling looks like it will be a little bit more  acrimonious," said Benjamin Reitzes, senior economist and  foreign exchange strategist at BMO Capital Markets.      "It will probably go down to the wire but I would hope that  things at least move in the right direction. We're not really  sure what would happen if they didn't raise the debt ceiling. We  haven't gone down that road before, but I can't imagine it would   be at all positive for financial markets."      The last debt ceiling fight in 2011 saw a solution reached  only at the last minute and led to a ratings downgrade from  Standard and Poor's.       Prices for Canadian government bonds were mostly higher  across the maturity curve, though the two-year bond   was off half a cent to yield 1.211 percent. The benchmark  10-year bond rose 21 Canadian cents to yield 2.575  percent.  
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