Monday, June 4, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ firms on euro zone hopes, eye on BoC

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ firms on euro zone hopes, eye on BoC
Jun 4th 2012, 12:58

Mon Jun 4, 2012 8:58am EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0387 vs US$, or 96.27 U.S. cents      * Trade thin ahead of ECB, BoC policy meetings      * Bond prices mostly lower        By Jon Cook       TORONTO, June 4 (Reuters) - Canada's dollar firmed slightly  against its U.S. counterpart on Monday on signs that a drive by  Europe's leaders to tackle the region's debt crisis was  gathering momentum, offsetting global slowdown fears stoked by  last week's disappointing data.       Investors are waiting to see if policy meetings by the  European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England this week  will produce any sign that another wave of easing is likely  given the weaker-than-expected economic data.         "As a consequence of that we're seeing risk appetite holding  up relatively well and that's providing a little bit of impetus  for those currencies that are risk correlated," said Jeremy  Stretch, head of foreign exchange strategy at CIBC World Markets  in London.            Figures on Monday showing euro zone factory prices were  unexpectedly stable in April from March, the fourth straight  month of weakening inflation pressures, offered some hope that  ECB could cut rates.          At 8:06 a.m. (1206 GMT), the Canadian dollar was at  C$1.0387, versus the U.S. dollar, or 96.27 U.S. cents, up  slightly from Friday's close at C$1.0394 versus the greenback,  or 96.21 U.S. cents.          In Canada, investors were in a wait-and-see mode ahead of  the Bank of Canada's next interest rate announcement on Tuesday.  Canada's central bank may signal it is more reluctant to raise  interest rates than it was seven weeks ago, without completely  reversing its message that Canadians should start preparing for  higher borrowing costs down the road.         The Bank of Canada's main policy rate has been at 1 percent  since September 2010.         "It's not that surprising if people are going to be fighting  shy of Canadian dollar positions over the next 24 hours until  the smoke clears a bit in terms of whether the bank is viewing  the externalities as being more pronounced or less pronounced,"  said Stretch, who saw the currency hovering in a range of  C$1.035 to C$1.04.            The commodity-linked currency was also hurt by data on  Friday that showed the Canadian economy grew less in the first  quarter than the Bank of Canada had expected.                 Following Friday's weak global data, traders raised bets of  a Bank of Canada interest rate cut by the end of the year.                With the euro zone set to dominate the agenda in the early  part of the week, more insight on potential monetary stimulus is  expected from Wednesday's European Central Bank meeting, with  markets positioning for an outside chance of an interest rate  cut.          On Thursday, Fed chief Ben Bernanke testifies before a  congressional committee about the U.S. economy, which could  offer more clues to possible policy shifts on the other side of  the Atlantic.         Canadian government bond prices were mostly lower and yields  rose after hitting record lows at the long end of the curve on  Friday.       Canada's benchmark 10-year bond fell 26 Canadian  cents to yield 1.66 percent, after hitting a record trough of  1.615 percent at the end of last week. The two-year bond   dropped 7 Canadian cents to yield 0.916 percent,  after touching 0.863 percent on Friday.  
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