Reuters: US Dollar Report: CORRECTED-FOREX-Euro rises as investors pare bearish bets on euro zone hopes

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CORRECTED-FOREX-Euro rises as investors pare bearish bets on euro zone hopes Jun 5th 2012, 01:43 Mon Jun 4, 2012 9:43pm EDT (Corrects milestones for euro in lead) * Euro rallies vs dollar, yen * G7 finance ministers, central bankers to hold call Tuesday By Julie Haviv NEW YORK, June 4 (Reuters) - The euro rebounded from last week's two-year low against the dollar and more than 11-year low against the yen on Monday as investors pared bearish bets on hopes that European authorities will seek greater fiscal integration within the euro zone. The euro, which was ripe for a bounce given a recent record high in net speculative short positioning, was buoyed by news that France and the European Commission signaled their support for an ambitious plan to use the euro zone's permanent bailout fund to rescue the bloc's stricken banks. "Talk that European officials may be warming to the notion of tighter fiscal discipline caused investors to scale back some of their record anti-euro bets," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington, D.C. "Still, much uncertainty remains about the health of the global economy, a backdrop that should prove supportive to the dollar and yen," he added. In a sign of heightened global alarm about strains within the 17-member euro currency area, finance chiefs of the Group of Seven leading industrialized powers will hold emergency talks on the euro zone debt crisis on Tuesday. While European officials are trying to reassure investors they can contain an escalating crisis, many market participants remain bearish on the single currency and believe the euro's strength should prove temporary, especially if yields on Spanish and Italian bonds hover near unsustainable levels. The euro last traded 0.5 percent higher at $1.2498, up from $1.2286 on Friday - its lowest since July 2010. Monday's peak of $1.2509 was a four-day high. Against the yen, the euro traded up 0.9 percent at 97.86 yen, well above Friday's 11-1/2-year low of 95.57 yen, according to Reuters data. "On immediate glance this small bounce in euro/dollar looks very similar to the corrective bounce witnessed in mid-May, which subsequently failed and opened the door for a move to Friday's low at $1.2286," said Gareth Sylvester, director at Klarity FX in San Francisco. "Accordingly, we would not put any real faith in a euro/dollar low having been set at this stage," he said. "In fact we would really need to see a break back above $1.2625/35 to begin to suggest that a short-term low had been seen and prompt a deeper correction." From a medium-term perspective, the broader risks suggest that the euro may head toward $1.20 and then $1.18, Sylvester said. Market participants are eyeing Wednesday's European Central Bank meeting, with some positioning for an outside chance of a rate cut. "The outlook of the euro will depend on how ready and willing the European Central Bank is to provide stimulus to the European economy," said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at GFT in Jersey City. "They (the ECB) have made it clear that they want the solution to come from Europe's leaders, but the recent deterioration in economic data and slide in asset prices makes easier monetary policy inevitable." On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies before a congressional committee about the U.S. economy. Friday's weak U.S. labor market data has raised expectations of more Fed quantitative easing, a negative for the dollar. Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.4 percent to 78.34 yen , off Friday's trough of 77.65, its lowest since mid-February, according to Reuters data. (Additional reporting by Nick Olivari; Editing by G Crosse) Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints

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