Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro jumps on ECB rate decision, Draghi; fears remain

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro jumps on ECB rate decision, Draghi; fears remain
Jun 6th 2012, 20:30

Wed Jun 6, 2012 4:30pm EDT

  * Euro up vs dollar after ECB decision, Draghi comments      * ECB leaves growth outlook unchanged      * Focus on Fed Bernanke testimony        By Julie Haviv            NEW YORK, June 6 (Reuters) - The euro jumped sharply against  the dollar and yen in choppy trading on Wednesday after the  European Central Bank left both interest rates and the outlook  for economic growth unchanged.        While investors in other markets would have welcomed further  ECB action, a cut in rates or further monetary stimulus would  have been negative for the euro, which also was ripe for a  bounce given extended positioning against the currency.       The ECB held its main interest rate at 1.0 percent on  Wednesday, resisting international pressure to provide more  support for the ailing euro zone economy.             Investors also shrugged off comments from ECB President  Mario Draghi, who put the onus on European political leaders to  resolve the debt crisis.              "Lack of negative news overnight and from Draghi prompted a  short squeeze," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency  strategist at BNY Mellon.             The euro was last up 1 percent against the dollar at  $1.2574 after hitting a peak of $1.2581, the highest since May  28. That is well above a near two-year low of $1.2286 on Friday.              To be sure, the euro's strength did little to diminish  demand for puts, or bets on a euro decline, in the options  market, according Matthew Schilling, a commodities broker at RJO  Futures in Chicago.           "There has been heavy volume all the way down to $1.1750 and  even with this bounce and (ECB) rates staying unchanged there is  not a lot of demand for calls."       Investors who buy these puts expect the euro to fall below  $1.1750 before they expire on July 6.        "It doesn't look like anyone believes anything positive will  come out of the euro zone," he said.          Spanish banking sector problems and the possibility of  Greece leaving the euro zone had some investors expecting the  ECB to reassure investors by announcing fresh  measures.             Draghi, however, ruled out further long-term refinancing  operations to boost liquidity, said Ron Simpson, director of FX  research at Action Economics in Tampa, Florida, "and basically  throws the onus back to politicians by saying it isn't right for  monetary policy to fill 'other actors' lack of action.'       "It appears no more Band-Aids are forthcoming from the  central bank," he said.        But Draghi did say the ECB decided to continue conducting  its main refinancing operations at fixed-rate tender procedures  with full allotment for as long as necessary.         The ECB's decision comes a day after Group of Seven finance  ministers took no immediate steps to soothe fears over Europe's  debt problems but did discuss policy responses.                Also on Wednesday, the president of the Atlanta Federal  Reserve Bank, Dennis Lockhart, said the U.S. central bank may  need to consider additional monetary easing.           On Thursday U.S. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testifies to  Congress on the economy. Hints on the possibility of more  quantitative easing are seen as key.                                           Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.6 percent 79.24  . Against the yen, the euro rose 1.6 percent to 99.58 yen   , well off Friday's trough, which was the lowest level  since December 2000.          Despite the euro's bounce, its prospects still look bleak.        Germany and European Union officials are urgently exploring  ways to rescue Spain's debt-stricken banks, although Madrid has  not yet requested assistance and is resisting political  conditions, EU sources said on Wednesday.             There is also a risk that Greek elections on June 17 could  lead to Greece leaving the euro.  
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