Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro gains in aftermath of ECB rate decision and Draghi

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro gains in aftermath of ECB rate decision and Draghi
Jun 6th 2012, 14:25

Wed Jun 6, 2012 10:25am EDT

  * Euro up vs dollar after ECB decision and Draghi      * Aussie jumps as Q1 GDP well above forecasts        NEW YORK, June 6 (Reuters) - The euro recovered to trade  higher against the dollar in a volatile session on Wednesday  after the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged  and investors shrugged off comments from ECB President Mario  Draghi, who put the onus on European political leaders to  resolve the debt crisis.              The ECB held its main interest rate at 1.0 percent on  Wednesday, resisting international pressure to provide more  support for the euro zone's ailing economy..                    But any dollar strength against the euro was likely capped  after Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said on Wednesday,  the Federal Reserve may need to consider additional monetary  easing if a wobbly U.S. economy falters or Europe's troubles  generate a broader financial shock.            "The sell-off in the euro we saw post-press conference was  short-lived and we're bouncing around within the move," said  Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign  Exchange in Washington. Draghi's comments "were negative and the  move was the right one but it ran out of steam."               The euro was up 0.4 percent against the dollar at  $1.2502, compared with 1.2495 before the ECB rate decision and   well above a near two-year low of $1.2286 plumbed last Friday.  Traders said any gains in the currency were likely to run into  offers up to $1.2540.         Investors had been gearing up for the ECB to signal monetary  stimulus to bolster the struggling economy and restore  confidence in the euro zone.          With the euro and the region's stock markets falling sharply  in recent weeks given Spanish banking sector problems and the  possibility of Greece leaving the euro zone, some investors were  expecting the ECB to reassure investors by announcing fresh  measures.             Draghi "rules out more (Long Term Refinancing Operations),  and basically throws the onus back to politicians by saying it  isn't right for monetary policy to fill "other actor's lack of  action"," said Ron Simpson, director of FX research at Action  Economics in Tampa, Florida. "It appears no more band-aids are  forthcoming from the central bank, which has disappointed some  euro bulls."          The ECB's decision comes after G7 finance ministers took no  immediate steps to soothe fears over Europe's debt problems on  Tuesday but did discuss policy responses, including "progress  towards financial and fiscal union in Europe," the U.S. Treasury  said.         Analysts said any move toward closer financial integration  would boost the euro, but progress is likely to be very slow,  leaving many traders looking to sell the euro on rallies.             "Euro/dollar is likely to squeeze higher but people will  come in and sell rallies ... A one cent rally on the day would  be a good opportunity to fade it," said Paul Robson, currency  strategist at RBS in London.                              SPAIN WORRIES             Against the yen, the euro rose more than 1 percent to a  session high of 99.30 yen, away from Friday's trough,  the lowest since December 2000, It was last up 0.9 percent at  98.90 yen.            Despite the bounce, the prospects for the euro looked bleak  in the medium term as concerns are growing that Spain could  resort to requesting international aid to help its ailing  banking sector.               Germany and European Union officials are urgently exploring  ways to rescue Spain's debt-stricken banks although Madrid has  not yet requested assistance and is resisting political  conditions, EU sources said on Wednesday.           There is also a risk that Greek elections later this month  could lead to Greece leaving the euro.        And, highlighting the risks to the banking sector from the  sovereign debt turmoil, Moody's Investors Service cut the credit  ratings of several German banks on Wednesday.         Meanwhile, the higher-yielding Australian dollar, which  suffered a drop of over 6 percent against the U.S. dollar last  month, jumped 1.5 percent to $0.9885 after data showed  Australia grew well above expectations in the first quarter.                The U.S. dollar rose by 0.5 percent against the safe-haven  yen to 79.11 yen, after Japan warned it was ready to step in to  curb the yen's appreciation.  
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