Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: Swiss investor sentiment at lowest level since Jan

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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Swiss investor sentiment at lowest level since Jan
Jun 20th 2012, 09:00

Wed Jun 20, 2012 5:00am EDT

* Swiss investor morale drops to -43.4

* Majority of analysts expect a stable Swiss franc

ZURICH, June 20 (Reuters) - Swiss investor sentiment plunged to its lowest level in five months in June, adding to signs that the ailing economic health of many neighbouring euro zone countries will drag on growth.

The ZEW indicator fell by 39.4 points to -43.4 points in June, the lowest level since January, Credit Suisse, which issues the indicator in cooperation with the German ZEW economic research institute, said on Wednesday.

"In our view, this change reflects the expectation of a substantial slowdown in growth in the second half of the year, after growth surprised strongly to the upside in Q1," the survey's authors said.

Swiss growth proved surprisingly strong in the first three months of this year, but the Swiss National Bank warned at its policy review last Thursday that momentum would slacken significantly in the months ahead.

The euro zone is Switzerland's biggest trading partner and exporters - already battling a strong Swiss franc - look set to be further handicapped by weak demand in the bloc.

German investor morale sank at its fastest rate since October 1998 on worries about the health of the Spanish banking sector and uncertainty over the Greek election outcome, according to a survey released on Tuesday.

Of the 46 analysts surveyed, 78 percent expect the Swiss franc to remain stable against the euro. This is the highest share since the SNB set its 1.20 cap to the single currency last September, underscoring the credibility of the policy.

SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan has dangled the threat of capital controls to hold down the value of the franc if an escalation in the euro zone crisis should prompt a new barrage of safe-haven flows into the currency.

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