Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls from near-parity to US$ after GDP

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls from near-parity to US$ after GDP
Jul 31st 2012, 13:44

Tue Jul 31, 2012 9:44am EDT

  * Economy grows at slower-than-expected pace in May      * C$ hits low of C$1.0044 vs US$, or 99.56 U.S. cents      * Earlier, C$ hit 11-wk high of C$1.0003, or 99.97 U.S.  cents      * Bond prices climb across the curve        By Jennifer Kwan      TORONTO, July 31 (Reuters) - Canada's dollar touched a  session low against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday, retreating  from an 11-week high in striking distance of parity after  domestic growth data showed the economy grew by less than  expected.      Canada's economy grew by 0.1 percent in May from April as  weak manufacturing and construction activity partially offset  strength in natural resources and some services industries.         The Canadian currency fell as low as C$1.0044  versus the greenback, or 99.56 U.S. cents, from about C$1.0029  just before the data's release.      Analysts in a Reuters poll had forecast, on average, 0.2  percent growth in gross domestic product in May, following an  expansion of 0.3 percent in April.      Still, the data was not seen having a big impact on the Bank  of Canada, which is expected to keep interest rates on hold  until the third quarter of next year.       "Remember they were already calling for a fairly mediocre  second quarter in their downgraded outlook," said Avery  Shenfeld, chief economist for CIBC World Markets.      "If anything they may be slightly on the high side of what  looks reasonable. This won't be far off their projection. It's  simply too slow to be thinking of raising interest rates any  time soon."      At 9:30 a.m. (1330 GMT), the Canadian dollar stood  at C$1.0035 versus the greenback, or 99.65 U.S. cents, softer  than Monday's North American session close at C$1.0018 against  the greenback, or 99.82 U.S. cents.      Earlier on Tuesday, the Canadian currency touched C$1.0003,  or 99.97 U.S. cents, its firmest level since mid-May.      The currency also softened as investors feared a recent  rally built on hopes of new stimulus from central banks in the  United States and Europe had been overdone.      Riskier assets have been boosted by mounting expectation  that the European Central Bank will revive its bond buying  program to help lower the borrowing costs of debt-stricken Spain  and Italy, while the U.S. Federal Reserve has been under renewed  pressure to support flagging growth.      Both central banks hold policy meetings this week.       Last week, ECB President Mario Draghi said the ECB was ready  to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro.       "Draghi especially ... has put his personal credibility on  the line which is something that's extraordinarily rare in  central banking," said Adam Button, currency analyst at  ForexLive in Montreal.      "The market is now alight with speculation about some of the  fantastic things they might do and that goes for the Fed as  well, to some lesser extent, so right now we're going to witness  the full power of central banking."      Canadian bond prices climbed across the curve, tracking U.S.  Treasuries on the way up. Canada's two-year bond rose  3 Canadian cents to yield 1.078 percent, and the benchmark  10-year bond gained 19 Canadian cents to yield 1.680  percent.  
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