Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies weaken on stimulus doubts

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies weaken on stimulus doubts
Jul 31st 2012, 17:23

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Tue Jul 31, 2012 1:23pm EDT

  * Investors second guess ECB, Fed resolve to deploy stimulus      * Brazil seen not rolling over currency swaps      * Brazil real down 0.4 pct, Mexico peso falls 0.2 pct        Rio de Janeiro, July 31 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies weakened on Tuesday before crucial monetary policy  decisions by U.S. and European policymakers, while the Brazilian  real was pressured by investors betting the central bank would  not roll over swap contracts designed to boost the currency.      The Mexican peso lost 0.2 percent in cautious trading  as investors questioned the resolve of U.S. and European central  banks to deploy more stimulus measures at the end of their  monetary policy meetings this week.      Expectations that such measures were in the pipeline drove  risk appetite higher last week, but since Monday investors have  been more cautious.       Doubts on whether the European Central Bank would agree on  concrete steps to cut the borrowing costs of Spain and Italy  weighed on European markets on Tuesday. There were also concerns  the U.S. Federal Reserve could hold off bolder stimulus measures  until its September meeting.      "Investors have been expecting actions by the ECB and the  Fed, but with the latest U.S. economic data coming in line or  better than expected, some are already ruling out measures to  stimulate the economy this week," said Luiz Roberto Monteiro, a  trader with Renascenca brokerage in Sao Paulo.      The Brazilian real fell 0.4 percent, also pressured  by bets that the central bank would let expire $4.57 billion  worth of swap contracts due on the following day, essentially  reducing the supply of dollars in the futures market.      "The real would gain if the central bank rolled over those  contracts, so I think it will not do that," said Ovidio Soares,  a trader with Interbolsa brokerage. He noted that Brazilian  policymakers, seeking to protect exporters, do not want the real  to strengthen past 2 per dollar.       The real last traded at 2.0463 per greenback, after closing  at 2.0208 on Friday, its strongest level in three weeks.            Latin American FX prices at 1555 GMT         Currencies                            daily %     YTD %                                          change    change                                Latest               Brazil real                  2.0463     -0.42     -8.69                                                     Mexico peso                 13.2901     -0.21      5.11                                                     Argentina peso*              6.3300      0.63    -25.28                                                     Chile peso                 482.2500      0.07      7.68                                                     Colombia peso            1,791.3500     -0.03      8.21                                                     Peru sol                     2.6280      0.00      2.63                                                     * Argentine peso's rate between                           brokerages  
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