Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-China swings into capital account deficit in Q2

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 1-China swings into capital account deficit in Q2
Jul 31st 2012, 11:36

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Tue Jul 31, 2012 7:36am EDT

  BEIJING, July 31 (Reuters) - China's capital and financial account swung  into a deficit of $71.4 billion from a surplus of $56.1 billion in the first  quarter as domestic firms and residents increased their holdings of foreign  currencies amid the global turbulence, the nation's foreign exchange regulator  said on Tuesday.       China has suffered sporadic capital outflows since late last year as choppy  global markets have spooked investors and led them to pull funds from the  country.      "The current situation is that domestic institutions and individuals  increase their holdings of foreign exchange assets instead of the central bank.  There is no sign yet of capital flight," the State Administration of Foreign  Exchange (SAFE) said in a statement on its website, www.safe.gov.cn.      "As balance of payment and yuan currency approach the equilibrium and  reasonable level, it is inevitable to see cross-border capital inflow and  outflow, as well as two-way yuan currency fluctuations," it said.       Capital account deficit in the first half was $20.3 billion.      China's current account surplus widened to $59.7 billion in the second  quarter from $23.5 billion three months earlier, according to the SAFE.      Current account surplus in the first half of 2012 was $83.2 billion, down 5  percent from a year earlier, the data showed. The surplus was equivalent to 2.3  percent of GDP, down from 2.7 percent in 2011, offering fresh evidence that the  world's second-largest economy is relying less on external demand.      The surplus-to-GDP ratio has comfortably fallen below the threshold that  U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner thought was needed to keep the global  economy well balanced.      China's current account surplus was about 6 percent of GDP in 2009 and 10.1  percent in 2007. The steady decline has been helped by the country's solid  economic growth in recent years.      Following is a breakdown of the balance of payments (in billions of  dollars):                                 Q22012    Q12012                              (initial)   (final)     2011      2010      2009      BALANCE OF PAYMENTS (A+B)       -11.7      79.6    422.8     531.4     442.0      CURRENT ACCOUNT (A)              59.7      23.5    201.7     305.4     297.1       Merchandise trade               91.3      21.9    243.5     254.2     249.5       Services trade                 -18.7     -18.1    -55.2     -22.1     -29.4       Income                         -13.9      17.3    -11.9      30.4      43.3       Transfers                        1.0       2.5     25.3      42.9      33.7      CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT(B)  -71.4      56.1    221.1     226.0     144.8       Capital account                    ~         ~      5.4       4.6       4.0       Foreign direct investment (net) 38.6      48.9    170.4     124.9      34.3       Securities investment              ~       9.3     19.6      24.0      38.7       Other investment                   ~      -3.5     25.5      72.4      67.9      RESERVE ASSETS (C)              -11.8     -74.6   -387.8    -471.7    -398.4       Foreign exchange reserves      -11.2     -74.8   -384.8    -469.6    -382.1      ERRORS & OMISSIONS (D)              ~         ~    -35.0     -59.7     -43.5        ^ Not available.  Breakdown figures may not add up exactly due to rounding.  
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