Thursday, August 23, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weaker on data, stimulus hopes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weaker on data, stimulus hopes
Aug 23rd 2012, 20:27

Thu Aug 23, 2012 4:27pm EDT

  * C$ at C$0.9936 vs $US, or $1.0064      * Federal Reserve stimulus hopes dim      * Bank of Canada's hawkish tone meets skepticism      * Bond prices mixed        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Aug 23 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar was weaker  against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, failing to gain traction as  the market continued to unwind recent gains amid a recent string  of weak domestic economic data and diminished hopes of swift  stimulus action in the U.S.      Minutes from the Federal Reserve's August meeting suggested  another round of monetary stimulus may not be far off, but  comments on Thursday from St. Louis Federal Reserve President  James Bullard, who called the minutes "a bit stale", dampened  those expectations.          "It's a tough day for the Canadian dollar, but we saw a push  down to a three-month-high earlier in the week," said Adam  Button, currency analyst at ForexLive in Montreal.      "It's abundantly clear the Canadian dollar doesn't have the  appetite to get below 98 cents," he added, also noting that the  currency has "almost been tick for tick with the S&P 500" over  the last month.      U.S. stocks were lower on Thursday over the Fed's stimulus  expectations and data out of China and the euro zone, which  clouded the global economic outlook.       The Canadian dollar closed at C$0.9936 versus the  U.S. dollar, or $1.0064, softer than Wednesday's finish at  C$0.9914, or $1.0087.      Button said if the currency can push above the C$0.9950  level, it will likely test parity.       Market skepticism that the Bank of Canada can really  deliver on its hawkish sentiment also kept the currency under  pressure. Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney in remarks on  Wednesday repeated similar language used last month when keeping  rates unchanged, saying "some modest withdrawal of the present  considerable monetary policy stimulus" might become appropriate.               "It seems kind of unbelievable that the Bank of Canada is  going to be raising rates anytime soon -- in fact I think the  market is pricing in only a 12 percent change of a move by year  end," said David Bradley, director of foreign exchange trading  at Scotiabank.      "If you look at the last three or four economic indicators,  they've been quite soft -- retail sales, CPI, unemployment -- so  that is preventing further Canadian dollar strength as well."      Canadian bond prices were mixed, with the two-year bond   losing 2.8 Canadian cents to yield 1.124 percent and  the benchmark 10-year bond gaining 16 Canadian cents  to yield 1.822 percent.  
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