Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar rallies broadly, lifted by upbeat U.S. data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar rallies broadly, lifted by upbeat U.S. data
Oct 3rd 2012, 17:56

Wed Oct 3, 2012 1:56pm EDT

  * ADP report showed U.S. added 162,000 private-sector jobs      * Investors uncertain about Spanish bailout, euro slips      * U.S. job outlook still gloomy, dollar upside limited        By Steven C. Johnson      NEW YORK, Oct 3 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Wednesday  after data showed U.S. companies added more jobs than expected  last month, boosting some hopes that the health of the world's  largest economy was improving.      A separate report showing the vast U.S. services sector  gained momentum in September also helped lift the greenback to a  two-week high against the yen and buoyed it against sterling and  commodity-sensitive currencies from Australia and New Zealand.      Few analysts, though, were ready to say the U.S. job market  had improved enough to reduce the jobless rate significantly,.  That means the Federal Reserve is likely to flood the market  with dollars for years to come, keeping the currency's gains in  check.      The ADP National Employment Report showed the private sector  added 162,000 jobs last month. The report has proved a poor  indicator of late in predicting job gains in the more  comprehensive government payrolls report, which is due Friday.      "ADP could foreshadow a good number, but even if we exceed  expectations, job creation will still be miserable and will give  the Fed plenty of scope to keep easing," said John Doyle,  currency strategist at Tempus Consulting in Washington.       The dollar was last up half a percent at 78.51 yen   after hitting its highest level since Sept. 19 following the  data.      Strategists tied the move partly to Japan's new finance  minister saying he was ready to take steps to thwart a strong  yen, which has hurt exports and the economy.        Jamie Coleman, currency strategist at Forexlive.com in  Boston, cited bankers as he noted an uptick in speculative  demand for dollar/yen on an improving technical backdrop.      "It lulls you to sleep when the same person says these  things over and over again, but when a new minister comes in,  people tend to listen more," Doyle said. He added that he did  not see the dollar making a run at the 80 yen level any time  soon.      The euro slipped 0.1 percent to $1.2902, as  uncertainty grew about whether and when Spain would seek  emergency aid to stem its debt crisis. Prime Minister Mariano  Rajoy quashed speculation that his government would apply for a  bailout as soon as this weekend.       Data suggesting the 17-country euro zone likely fell back  into recession in the third quarter also hurt the currency ahead  of Thursday's European Central Bank meeting.             EURO GAINS SEEN LIMITED, AUSSIE WILTS      Strategists expect Spain to ultimately request a bailout,  which would free the European Central Bank to buy Spanish  government bonds to lower the government's borrowing costs. Such  a move was expected to spark only mild euro gains.      "The bailout is priced into the market, so an official  request would only give the euro a short-term boost rather than  see it trend higher against the dollar," said Gareth Sylvester,  senior currency strategist at Klarity FX in San Francisco.      Some traders said the currency could soon test $1.2968, a  level hit a week ago, before hitting $1.30.      Sterling fell 0.3 percent to $1.6080 ahead of a  Bank of England meeting on Thursday.        The Australian dollar fell 0.5 percent to $1.0220,  weighed down by stronger U.S. data and a report showing  Australia posted its widest trade deficit in 3-1/2 years as  falling iron ore and coal prices dented export earnings.      The Aussie was also weighed down by expectations that  domestic interest rates will be cut further, after the Reserve  Bank of Australia on Tuesday cut its cash rate by 25 basis  points to 3.25 percent, the lowest level in three years.      Against the Canadian dollar, the U.S. dollar hit an almost  one-month high of C$0.9884, while the New Zealand dollar   fell 1 percent to $0.8193.  
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