Thursday, October 4, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro hits 2-week highs as ECB says ready to buy bonds

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro hits 2-week highs as ECB says ready to buy bonds
Oct 4th 2012, 21:57

Thu Oct 4, 2012 5:57pm EDT

  * Draghi affirms support for the euro      * ECB keeps rate at 0.75 percent, Spain in focus      * Markets wary of BoJ interest rate decision        By Daniel Bases and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss      NEW YORK, Oct 4 (Reuters) - The euro hit two-week highs  against the U.S. dollar and yen on Thursday after the European  Central Bank's chief said the ECB was ready to implement a  bond-buying program that would lower borrowing costs for  debt-stricken countries.       Details about the ECB's bond-buying scheme are not yet  known, but it represents a key ingredient in the bank's overall  strategy to counter the euro zone's debt crisis.      ECB President Mario Draghi gave assurance that the ECB has a  "fully effective backstop mechanism in place" to implement the  plan. No specifics about the scheme were disclosed in his news  conference, but the euro gained in anticipation.       Few surprises came in Draghi's news conference after the ECB  kept a benchmark interest rate at 0.75 percent.       Draghi said the ECB's decision to undertake bond purchases  had eased tensions in the region.      "The markets are rallying ... on the idea that the ECB is  standing ready to act if necessary," said Neal Gilbert, currency  strategist at GFT in New Jersey.      Draghi also affirmed his commitment to preserving the  region's monetary system and currency. He said the " euro is  irreversible," and that he remained firmly committed to keeping  the "singleness" of monetary policy in the euro zone.          In July, he vowed to do whatever it would take to keep the  euro zone's common currency in place, sparking a rally from  two-year lows. That has helped ease concerns of a euro-zone  breakup.      The euro pulled away from gains of nearly 1 percent on the  day after minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's September   meeting showed broad agreement that more policy stimulus was  needed. The bank also talked about adopting numerical thresholds  for inflation and unemployment to serve as guideposts on policy.      Last month. the Fed launched open-ended large-scale buying  of mortgage bonds to boost the economy.       The trimming of the euro's gains preceded Friday's September   U.S. employment report, where economists polled by Reuters  expect a modest increase of 113,000 new jobs, with the U.S.  unemployment rate edging up to 8.2 percent from 8.1 percent in  August.      "I'm not saying it's less important than in prior months,  but the open-ended pledge on bond buying may be taking some  steam out of the report," said Brian Kim, currency strategist at  Royal Bank of Scotland in Stamford, Connecticut. He noted that  market reaction could prove muted.         At the close of New York trade, the euro pared its early  gains of nearly 1 percent. It stood at $1.3018, up 0.88 percent.  It hit a high of $1.3031, its strongest level since Sept.  21. Against the yen, the euro rose 0.88 percent to 102.16 yen  , after hitting a two-week peak of 102.18 yen.            ALL EYES ON SPAIN      The chance of Spain asking for a bailout and triggering the  ECB's bond-buying plan has made investors wary of selling the  euro. At the same time, uncertainty about when Spain is likely  to make such a request has limited the currency's gains.      Analysts believed, however, that Spain's budget proposal  seemed designed with a bailout request in mind.      Also in focus on Thursday was a debt auction at which Spain  raised 4 billion euros ($5.2 billion) selling tranches of bonds  maturing in 2014, 2015 and 2017. Yields fell from the previous  auction.       The euro rose to a two-week high against the Swiss franc but  has since pulled back to break even on the day at 1.2110  . It retreated slightly from a two-week peak against  the pound at 80.42 pence.      The pound rose 0.75 percent against the dollar to $1.6195  < GBP=D4> after the Bank of England kept rates and its  quantitative easing total, as expected, on hold.             BOJ AHEAD      The yen was broadly sluggish, dropping to a two-week low  versus the dollar and euro, with investors wary that  the Bank of Japan may surprise on Friday by easing policy.      The dollar was last flat at 78.48 yen.      The BoJ, which only last month boosted its asset-buying  program, has been under intense political pressure to offer more  monetary stimulus to try to spur growth and weaken the yen.      The BoJ is expected to hold rates unchanged at its Oct. 4-5  meeting in order to gauge the effects of its latest easing.  Pressure to ease further was expected to continue ahead of its  Oct. 30 policy meeting.       "Given that the BoJ just decided on additional easing at its  last meeting two weeks ago (Sept. 18-19), we think it is likely  to remain on hold at its 4-5 October policy meeting, unless the  yen rises sharply for some reason and leads the MoF to consider  intervening in the currency markets," Bank of America Merrill  Lynch wrote to clients in a note on Thursday.  
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