Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro rises on Spain speculation, stocks fall

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro rises on Spain speculation, stocks fall
Oct 2nd 2012, 18:23

Tue Oct 2, 2012 2:23pm EDT

  * Spain seen requesting bailout, but uncertainty weighs      * Worries on 3rd-quarter earnings dog stock markets      * Gold holds near highest level of the year      * Aussie dollar slips as RBA cuts rates        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Oct 2 (Reuters) - The euro rose against the dollar  on Tuesday on expectations that a request by Spain for a bailout  is imminent, but major stock markets fell on uncertainty of when  Madrid will make its request and growing uneasiness over  third-quarter earnings.      European officials said on Monday that Spain is ready to  make the request for a euro zone bailout as early as next  weekend, although Germany has signaled that it should hold off.         A request for a bailout is viewed as positive for financial  markets because it would trigger Spanish bond buying by the  European Central Bank, which would lower the country's borrowing  costs. It would also remove another layer of uncertainty in the  region's three-year old debt crisis.      "Spain being rescued would be good for risk assets and  ultimately global growth, but while the benefits are largely  priced in, we're still getting conflicting signals that  understandably have investors apprehensive," said Brian Barish,  president of Cambiar Investors LLC in Denver, who helps oversee  $7 billion.       "Until we get some kind of clarity, we should expect a lot  of volatility and difficulty holding onto gains," Barish said.      Adding to the confusion about when aid could arrive, Spanish  Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said on Tuesday that a request for  European aid was not imminent.       The MSCI global stock index slipped 0.1  percent to 332.84.      Wall Street stocks surrendered early gains and turned  negative. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 68.46  points, or 0.51 percent, to 13,446.65. The Standard & Poor's 500  Index dropped 3.21 points, or 0.22 percent, to 1,441.28.  The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 4.41 points, or 0.14  percent, to 3,109.12.       The Dow was pressured by stocks closely tied to the pace of  growth, including heavy machinery maker Caterpillar Inc   and plane maker Boeing Co. A major headwind for the  global economy has been falling demand from Europe, which has  been drifting toward recession.      Weaker-than-expected results from fertilizer producer Mosaic   added to worries about the third-quarter earnings  season, which will kick off in earnest next week. Mosaic shares  slid 4.7 percent and were the biggest percentage decliner on the  S&P.       The FTSEurofirst-300 index of pan-European shares   fell 0.3 percent to end at 1,101.89 points, also weighed by  doubts over third-quarter results and weakness in basic  resources stocks.      "The real key to create confidence is positive earnings  surprises, positive economic data surprises," said Philip  Isherwood, European strategist at Absolute Strategy Research.                   INVESTORS ON EDGE      The euro rose 0.3 percent to $1.2927, notching a  second straight day of gains against the greenback, while the  dollar gained 0.2 percent against the yen to 78.10 yen.        But uncertainty over the timing of Spain's request for aid  kept investors on edge, with many selling the euro at higher  levels. Another risk factor is rating agency Moody's soon-to-be  announced review of Spain's rating, which could see it cut to  junk status.      Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business  Solutions in Washington, said worries about euro zone growth  would keep the European Central Bank in easing mode, capping any  euro upside.      Investors also awaited a number of central bank meetings  later this week. The European Central Bank, the Bank of England  and the Bank of Japan all meet this week, although none is  expected to change benchmark interest rates.      Earlier on Tuesday, Australia's central bank cut its main  rate by a quarter point to 3.25 percent. The Australian dollar   fell to a one-month low of $1.0291 and last traded down  0.9 percent at $1.0297.      U.S. Treasuries prices reversed early losses to edge higher  as stock losses boosted the bid for safe-haven U.S. debt. The  benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 1/32, with the yield  at 1.6146 percent.        Brent crude slipped 31 cents to $111.88 a barrel as  investors weighed a weaker outlook for fuel demand and sluggish  economic growth. U.S. crude fell 16 cents to $92.32.      Gold prices remained close to their highest level of  the year. Gold is seen as a safe-haven asset. Spot gold was last  at $1,772.99 an ounce.  
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