Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ slides on post U.S. election fiscal worries

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ slides on post U.S. election fiscal worries
Nov 7th 2012, 18:40

Wed Nov 7, 2012 1:40pm EST

  * C$ at C$0.9971 vs US$ or $1.0029      * Had reached C$0.9875 shortly after Obama victory      * Status quo results spark jitters over U.S. fiscal cliff      * German manufacturing data, ECB comments weigh on sentiment        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened  toward parity with the greenback on Wednesday as gains made  overnight following U.S. President Barack Obama's re-election  gave way to concerns about brewing fiscal problems in the United  States and Europe.      Obama defeated Republican challenger Mitt Romney on Tuesday  after a grueling presidential race, while Obama's fellow  Democrats retained control of the Senate and Republicans kept  their majority in the House of Representatives.       The results signaled no dramatic shift in U.S. economic  policies. But investors, worried about the looming U.S. "fiscal  cliff", sought safety in assets considered less risky than the  Canadian dollar.      In the "fiscal cliff" scenario, a $600 billion package of  tax increases and spending cuts is scheduled to take effect  automatically at the end of 2012, likely driving the economy  into recession, unless the White House and Congress reach a deal  to avert it.       The prospect of the United States failing to draw back from  returning to recession drove stock markets down sharply on  Wednesday.      "The steep slide in equity prices tells the story for risk  assets in general and that includes the Canadian dollar. So the  weakness in the (Canadian dollar) is pretty much following on  that trend," said Greg Moore, FX strategist at TD Securities.      "We're basically in the same place we were before the  election. The division is still there. Basically the market  sense would be that negotiations might be just as difficult as  they were before the election."      Around noon, the Canadian dollar slipped to  C$0.9971 to the U.S. dollar, or $1.0029, weaker than its North  American finish on Tuesday at C$0.9918, or $1.0083. It was also  underperforming against most other major currencies.      Overnight, the currency strengthened briefly to a near  three-week high of C$0.9875, or $1.0127, a move shared by its  commodity-linked counterparts. It touched its strongest level  against the euro in nearly a month and had its best  showing against the pound in about two weeks.            EURO CRISIS WEIGHS ON GERMANY      Data on Wednesday signaled that manufacturing in Germany,  Europe's largest economy, is running out of steam three years  into the euro zone debt crisis.       The weak German data was a catalyst for the initial  risk-asset sell-off, Moore said, but as the North American  session opened, focus turned to fears the fiscal cliff could  crush U.S. economic recovery.      Separately, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi  said the bank expects the euro zone economy to remain weak "in  the near term". The ECB is expected to maintain its monetary  policy when the group meets this  week.        "The comments from the ECB ... weighed on sentiment a little  bit so you saw Canada weaken off on that news and I think U.S.  dollar gained some of that safe-haven flow on the risk-off  reaction to it," said Don Mikolich, executive director, foreign  exchange sales at CIBC World Markets.      A huge rally in Greece involving tens of thousands of  protesters underscored the ongoing unrest over the euro-zone  crisis. The demonstration was held as Greek lawmakers were set  to narrowly pass an austerity package to win aid from lenders.         Mikolich expected the trading range for the Canadian dollar  to hold to C$0.9850 to U.S. dollar parity in the near term.      The price of Canadian government debt rose across the curve.  The two-year government of Canada bond was up 9  Canadian cents to yield 1.072 percent, while the benchmark  10-year bond was up 64 Canadian cents to yield 1.736  percent.  
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