Monday, November 26, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies weaken on Greece anxiety

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies weaken on Greece anxiety
Nov 26th 2012, 17:07

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Mon Nov 26, 2012 12:07pm EST

  * Investors cautiously await outcome of Greek aid talks      * Brazil real's losses curbed by intervention concerns      * Mexican peso down 0.2 pct, Brazilian real 0.15 pct lower        By Natalia Cacioli and Michael O'Boyle      SAO PAULO/MEXICO CITY, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies edged lower on Monday as investors cautiously awaited  the outcome of Greek aid negotiations, the success of which the  market saw as essential to avoiding an escalation of the euro  zone debt crisis.      Losses in the Brazilian real  were contained,  however, by expectations that the central bank could again  intervene in the market if the currency weakens toward the level  of 2.1 per dollar.      The Chilean peso lost 0.6 percent while the Mexican  peso  fell 0.2 percent on the Greek uncertainty.  Investor focus was on Brussels, where euro zone finance  ministers and the International Monetary Fund tried for the  third time in as many weeks to agree on emergency aid for  Greece.       Mexico's peso has firmed more than 2 percent from a 2-1/2  month low hit earlier this month, supported by easing concerns  about fiscal negotiations in the U.S. Congress and appetite for  the country's higher-yielding debt.      Data on Monday showed Mexican manufactured exports rebounded  in October after a recent slump, underscoring solid demand in  the United States, Mexico's top trading partner.       The central bank said on Friday that total portfolio  investment in Mexico by foreigners reached $24 billion in the  third quarter, boosted by a record flow of foreign investment  into peso-denominated debt.       "Holdings (of peso debt by foreigners) will keep rising, and  as a consequence, the peso will keep gaining," Gabriela Siller,  an economist at Mexican brokerage BASE wrote in a note.            REAL'S NEW TRADING BAND?      The Brazilian real weakened 0.15 percent to 2.0843 per  dollar as investors digested conflicting signs from policymakers  about the future of the country's foreign exchange policy.      The real on Friday posted its largest single-day gain in  nearly three months after the central bank stepped into the  market to halt losses that were partly fueled by comments from  Finance Minister Guido Mantega.      Speaking to business leaders in Sao Paulo, Mantega said  Brazil's exchange rate was at a "reasonable though not totally  satisfactory level" to support industry. His remarks drove the  real as low as 2.1168 per dollar, its weakest level in 3-1/2  years.      The apparent tug of war between the central bank and Mantega  left investors wondering whether policymakers still uphold an  informal trading band of 2.0-2.1 per dollar, where the real has  been stuck since early July.      "I believe the market is still digesting that intervention,"  said Luiz Fernando Genova, a trader with Banco Daycoval in Sao  Paulo. "We have seen the real weakening lately, but it's still  too early to say they will change this band."                 Latin America FX prices at 2045 GMT:         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0843    -0.15   -10.35                                                  Mexico peso               13.0035    -0.18     7.43                                                  Argentina peso*            6.4400    -0.47   -26.55                                                  Chile peso               481.5000    -0.60     7.85                                                  Colombia peso          1,825.0000    -0.07     6.21                                                  Peru sol                   2.5880     0.00     4.21                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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