Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar rises to two-month high on fiscal worries

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar rises to two-month high on fiscal worries
Nov 7th 2012, 15:03

Wed Nov 7, 2012 10:03am EST

  * Investors look past Obama re-election to focus on 'fiscal  cliff'      * ECB's Draghi: euro zone to remain weak in the near term      * Greece, Spain worries dent euro sentiment        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a two-month  high against major currencies on Wednesday as investors quickly  shifted focus to U.S. fiscal woes after President Barack Obama's  re-election, bolstering the appeal of the safe-haven U.S.  currency.      The euro came under pressure after ECB President Draghi said  the bank expects the euro zone economy to remain weak "in the  near term," adding to investor nervousness ahead of the central  bank's policy meeting on Thursday.      With election out of the way, the U.S. president faces a  fresh challenge confronting the "fiscal cliff," a mix of tax  increases and spending cuts due to extract some $600 billion  from the economy starting Jan. 1 barring a deal with Congress.         "For the past couple of years, generally bad news,  regardless of where it happens - whether it's in the U.S. or  abroad - has been good for the dollar. And while there's  evidence that relation has moderated, it's still there," said  Ron Leven, senior currency strategist at Morgan Stanley in New  York.      The dollar index, which tracks the greenback versus a basket  of currencies, rose 0.3 percent to 80.803, having hit as  high as 80.924, its highest since Sept. 7.      The euro fell as low as $1.2734 on Reuters data, a  two-month low, hurt by grim economic forecasts for the euro zone  and continued sovereign debt-related worries in Greece and  Spain. It was last at $1.2760, down 0.4 percent.  Against the yen, it lost 0.9 percent to 102.03 yen.      The currency faced further pressure ahead of a Greek  parliamentary vote on austerity measures necessary to secure the  next tranche of bailout cash, without which the country faces  bankruptcy.       "Uncertainty over the Greek vote and the U.S. fiscal cliff  are both major risk factors which are weighing on the euro,"  said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank.      "If the Greek vote doesn't go through, there is a lot of  downside risk to the euro as talk of a Greece exit will  re-emerge."      Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is expected to narrowly win  but the smallest party in his coalition will oppose the  measures, leaving him with a margin of just a handful of votes.         The market also remained concerned that Spain could delay  seeking international aid.      The European Central Bank will decide on interest rates on  Thursday and while no change is expected, a slew of grim data  out of the euro zone is likely to keep alive chances of further  cuts.      Earlier in the day, the clear-cut U.S. election result  lifted stocks and riskier currencies, boosting the  higher-yielding Australian dollar rise to its highest in nearly  seven weeks and the Canadian dollar to a three-week peak.      But that trend soon fizzled out as investors turned their  attention to the euro zone's problems and the U.S. fiscal cliff.      Against the yen, the dollar fell to as low as 79.80 yen   on Reuters data, well below its six-month high of 80.67  hit last week. It was last down 0.5 percent at 79.91 as yields  on U.S. Treasuries fell sharply.       Analysts at Morgan Stanley said they are maintaining their  bullish strategy for dollar/yen and expected a re-test of the  80.70 high, with a break above there opening the way for gains  towards their 84.00 target.  
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