Monday, January 28, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ flattens out ahead of key data, Fed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ flattens out ahead of key data, Fed
Jan 28th 2013, 21:32

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Mon Jan 28, 2013 4:32pm EST

  * C$ ends flat at C$1.0065 versus US$, or 99.35 U.S. cents      * Markets look ahead to U.S., Canada GDP and Fed meeting      * Lost 1.5 pct last week after dovish Bank of Canada        By Claire Sibonney      TORONTO, Jan 28 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar was  unchanged against its U.S. counterpart on Monday as investors  took a cautious stance ahead of key U.S. economic data and the  Federal Reserve's first policy meeting of the year later in the  week.      Still, the currency recovered from a six-month low hit  earlier in the day, taking some direction from firmer commodity  prices after a gauge of planned U.S. business spending rose in  December, while rating agency Fitch scaled back the chance it  will strip the United States of its AAA status.          "(The Canadian dollar) started out quite weak. All of the  commodity currencies were a bit under the gun ... but  realistically it was quite quiet trading and it wasn't really a  big driver ahead of Wednesday where we get a lot of news in  terms of GDP in the U.S. and the (Fed)," Mark Chandler, head of  fixed income and currency strategy at RBC Capital Markets, said.      On Wednesday, investors will be paying close attention to  U.S. fourth quarter GDP figures and the Federal Open Market  Committee's policy announcement. Canada's November growth  numbers are due on Thursday.      The Canadian dollar ended the North American  session at C$1.0065 to the greenback, or 99.35 U.S. cents, the  exact same level as Friday's close. It slipped 1.5 percent last  week.        Earlier in the day, the Canadian dollar had matched a  late-July low of C$1.01 versus the greenback, or 99.00 U.S.  cents, as the Bank of Canada's softer tone on interest rate  hikes last week continued to put pressure on the currency.      The central bank said last week it would hold rates steady  for longer than it had previously expected, with tepid inflation  data later in the week backing up that stance.      That pushed the Canadian currency to less than equal value  with the greenback for the first time in months.      RBC on Friday pushed out its forecast for the next hike by  two quarters from the third quarter of 2013 to the first quarter  of next year, citing heightened worries over domestic capital  expenditures due to weak energy prices and the gap between  Canadian oil and global benchmarks.      If the currency falls through the key C$1.01 level, it could  easily hit C$1.02 and potentially even reach C$1.03 in coming  weeks, said Greg Moore, foreign exchange strategist at TD  Securities. He saw decent Canadian-dollar resistance at  C$0.9970.      Canadian bond prices retreated across the curve. The  two-year bond was off 3 Canadian cents to yield 1.155  percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond fell 17  Canadian cents to yield 1.967 percent.  
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