Friday, January 11, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies down on rise in China inflation

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies down on rise in China inflation
Jan 11th 2013, 15:07

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Fri Jan 11, 2013 10:07am EST

  * China inflation hits 7-month high, reducing room for  stimulus      * Despite losses, Brazil real could test level of 2/dlr soon      * Brazil real falls 0.3; Mexican peso drops 0.2 percent        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, Jan 11 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies  weakened on Friday as investors worried that China, the main  consumer of the region's commodity exports, would have limited  room to stimulate its economy due to rising inflation.      Losses were limited as many analysts remain bullish on Latin  American currencies, either due to expectations of a solid  economic performance, as it is the case in Mexico, or due to  inflation concerns such as those seen in Brazil.      After a good rally so far in the year, however, some  investors seemed ready to pocket part of those gains. The profit  taking was triggered by data showing that China's December  inflation accelerated to a seven-month high.       The Mexican peso dropped 0.2 percent to 12.6320 per  dollar, still holding gains of about 1.8 percent so far in the  year. It had closed on Thursday near a 10-month high after data  showed the country's economy accelerated in October.      The Brazilian real  lost 0.3 percent to 2.0345  per dollar, still up 0.3 percent since Jan. 1. As inflation in  Brazil remains above the center of a government target range,  investors bet the central bank will keep the real stronger than  2.05 per dollar in order to avoid pass-through to prices.      Some even believe policymakers may allow the real to gain  slightly past the mark of 2 per dollar -- the lower limit of a  de facto trading range where the real has been confined since  July.      "The balance of risks has shifted towards inflation," JP  Morgan's analysts said in a research note. "A persistent and  broad-based weakness of the U.S. dollar could provide a cue for  an eventual test of the 2 reais-per-dollar level."             Latin American FX prices at 1455 GMT:         Currencies                       daily %    YTD %                                     change   change                            Latest              Brazil real              2.0345    -0.28     0.27                                                Mexico peso             12.6320    -0.21     1.84                                                Argentina peso*          7.2100     0.55    -5.96                                                Chile peso             471.6000    -0.17     1.51                                                Colombia peso        1,762.0000     0.06     0.23                                                Peru sol                 2.5500     0.00     0.04                                                * Argentine peso's rate between                     brokerages  
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