Thursday, January 24, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Yen slumps broadly as official says weakness not over

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Yen slumps broadly as official says weakness not over
Jan 24th 2013, 19:10

Thu Jan 24, 2013 2:10pm EST

  * Japanese official says yen decline not over      * Record trade deficit for Japan adds to selling pressure      * German data boosts hopes euro zone economy stabilizing        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Jan 24 (Reuters) - The yen tumbled against the  dollar on Thursday, snapping a three-day advance, after a  Japanese economic official said the government has no problem  with the dollar hitting 100 yen.      The Japanese currency has weakened to about 90 per dollar  from 80 since November on expectations Prime Minister Shinzo Abe  will force the central bank to ease monetary policy to combat  deflation.      But its decline stalled earlier this week after the Bank of  Japan said its open-ended commitment to buy assets would kick in  only next year, disappointing investors who had expected for  more aggressive easing measures.      "That disappointment only opened the door for bargain  hunters who are now driving yen crosses up again due to the fact  that Abenomics is still in play, and it will likely continue,"  said Neal Gilbert, market strategist at GFT in Grand Rapids,  Michigan.      "Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his cabinet members are now  aiming for 100.00 on the dollar/yen and we can expect more  verbal, political and monetary rhetoric until that goal is  reached."      The dollar rose 1.5 percent to 89.87 yen, a day after  hitting a one-week low of 88.03 yen. It had earlier risen as  high as 90.14 yen, breaking above resistance at 90 and is on  track to hit 90.25 yen, the 2-1/2-year high hit on Monday.      Traders cited reports quoting Japan's deputy economy  minister, Yasutoshi Nishimura, as saying the yen's decline is  not over and a dollar/yen level of 100 would not be a concern.  Nishimura was also quoted saying that only if the dollar rises  to 110-120 yen would it add to domestic import costs.       "At some stage, the ability of this jawboning and verbal  intervention to drive the yen lower will become subject to  diminishing returns, but that does not appear to be the case  yet," said Bob Lynch, chief currency strategist at HSBC in New  York.       A record trade deficit for Japan and comments by Japanese  Prime Minister Shinzo Abe that he expected the Bank of Japan to  achieve its 2 percent inflation goal as soon as possible added  to selling pressure.       The euro rallied 1.8 percent to 120.17 yen,  inching toward a 20-month high of 120.73 yen hit on Friday.  Traders cited Asian central banks as major buyers of the euro as  they stepped up yen selling.       Against the dollar, the euro rose 0.4 percent to $1.3367  , not far from the 11-month high of $1.3403 hit on Jan.  14, which is acting as near-term resistance. Support was cited  at $1.3250, near lows touched on Jan. 11.       Private sector activity data highlighted the diverging  fortunes of the bloc's biggest economies. Weak performance in  France was offset by numbers out of Germany showing that its  private sector expanded at the fastest rate in a year.          "The better PMI reading suggests a euro zone economy that  is starting to stabilize," said Aroop Chatterjee, currency  strategist at Barclays Capital in New York. "It's not out of the  woods yet, but the economic and financial conditions are  certainly better now than last year."      Traders said macro funds and asset managers were buying the  euro, and if data continued to show prospects for the region  were improving, the currency could rise further.      Some analysts said the announcement on the size of next  week's first repayments of cheap three-year loans taken by banks  from the European Central Bank just over a year ago could give  the euro a bit of a lift.      Banks took more than 1 trillion euros in the long-term  refinancing operation loans from the ECB. A Reuters poll showed  traders expected about 100 billion to be paid back next week.         Option traders reported strong demand for euro calls - bets  that the euro will rise - for expiry on Friday.  
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