Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Yen climbs vs dollar, euro as BOJ action disappoints

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Yen climbs vs dollar, euro as BOJ action disappoints
Jan 22nd 2013, 14:41

Tue Jan 22, 2013 9:41am EST

  * Yen rebounds as BOJ decision disappoints      * BOJ open-ended asset purchases to come into effect in 2014      * BOJ doubles inflation target to 2 percent      * Euro up vs dollar after surprise German ZEW jump          NEW YORK, Jan 22 (Reuters) - The yen rose to a three-day  high against the dollar on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan said  its open-ended commitment to buy assets would kick in only next  year, disappointing those who expected more aggressive monetary  easing.      The euro pared sharp losses against the yen and  was last little changed against the dollar after a German  ZEW survey showed that economic sentiment was at its highest  since May 2012.       Earlier the single currency had fallen to a session low  against the dollar and yen on speculation that some large German  banks could be asked to split their investment banking  operations, driving European shares lower.      But the biggest mover was the yen, with the Bank of Japan  once again falling short of expectations. The yen rose in the  aftermath, even as some traders said the move higher would be  limited.        "The BOJ, despite embarking on its boldest policy easing  scheme to date, disappointed market participants by postponing  action until 2014," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst, at  Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington. "But the medium  trend lower for the yen remains intact."          Japan's central bank, which has been under intense political  pressure to overcome deflation, doubled its inflation target to  2 percent as had been widely expected.       It also said it had decided to switch to an open-ended  approach of buying a certain amount of assets each month next  year, without setting a deadline for completing the purchases.       The dollar was down 0.8 percent against the yen at 88.88  . Earlier it had fallen past reported stops at 88.50 yen  to hit a session low of 88.35 yen.       Traders cited bids at 88.00-88.20 yen while chart support  was at its Jan. 16 low. The dollar had risen to 90.06 yen  immediately after the BOJ decision, not far from its 2-1/2 year  high of 90.25 yen, but later retreated.      Some US$3.4 billion in yen changed hands through the global  session on Tuesday, using Reuters Dealing data.          The yen's recovery was likely to be short-lived, and the  dollar would rise against the yen in the coming months, analysts  said.        "The general upward move in dollar/yen will continue due to  expectations of more easing after a new BOJ governor is  appointed in April," said Bernd Berg, global FX strategist at  Credit Suisse, adding that the dollar could rise to 92 yen in  the next few months.       Current BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa's term ends in April  and markets are positioned for further yen weakness as most  expect him to be replaced by someone whose stance on aggressive  policy easing matches that of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.            EURO RECOVERS      The euro was down 0.9 percent on the day at 118.26 yen,  though off a session low of 117.31 yen. The euro was hurt againt  the yen by a German newspaper report saying Germany's regulator  had ordered large banks to simulate a break-up.       Against the dollar, the euro was little changed at $1.3307  .      While the euro has struggled to break above the $1.34 level  since it hit a near 10-month high a week ago, strategists said  it was likely to remain firm as concerns around the euro zone  crisis ease.      The German ZEW figures beat all expectations, a sign that  the euro zone crisis was no longer hitting Europe's largest  economy as hard as it was last year.       "The euro can cross the $1.34 mark to reach $1.35 as early  as the end of this week if data out of Germany continues to be  strong," said Joerg Angele, FX strategist at Raiffeisen Bank  International in London.       But Commonwealth Foreign Exchange's Esiner cautioned that  failing to breach $1.34 may mean a near term top is in place for  the single currency.      After European Central Bank President Mario Draghi's  surprisingly upbeat press conference this month helped buoy the  euro, the Bundesbank lent further support to the currency on  Monday, saying Germany's economic slump had probably already  bottomed out.       That is likely to see currency speculators and long-term  investors build bets in favour of the single currency in coming  week, traders said.  
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