Friday, January 25, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies lower; Mexico peso hit by rate cut fears

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies lower; Mexico peso hit by rate cut fears
Jan 25th 2013, 21:40

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Fri Jan 25, 2013 4:40pm EST

  * Mexico peso falls 0.4 pct to lowest level in 2 weeks      * Chile peso drops with copper prices, intervention fears      * Brazil real closes flat due to Sao Paulo holiday        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The Mexican peso led Latin American  currencies lower on Friday as investors, fearing a possible interest rate cut by  the country's central bank, pocketed some of the currency's recent gains.      In Brazil, the real  closed flat at 2.0305 per dollar in an  extremely thin market due to a holiday in Sao Paulo, the country's financial  center.      Regional currency losses were exacerbated by the peso's fragile technical  position on the Chicago exchange, where investors have placed large bets for a  stronger Mexican currency. Analysts say such bets could quickly reverse,  prompting the peso to sell off.      The peso dropped 0.4 percent to trade at 12.698 per dollar, after  touching its weakest level in over two weeks.       It has lost around 1 percent since last Friday, when the Mexican central  bank said it could ease its monetary policy if inflation continues to cool and  the economy loses steam. Lower rates could reduce the allure of peso-denominated  assets.       The central bank's warning represented an abrupt reversal from its previous  threat to raise interest rates, leaving some investors wondering whether  policymakers were actually more concerned about the strength of the currency.      "The central bank's about face, coming as it did after a bout of peso  strength, is likely to be viewed by many as a first sign of a possible policy  response if the peso gains further ground," Morgan Stanley's analyst Luis  Arcentales wrote in a research note.      Elsewhere in Latin America, the Chilean peso lost 0.3 percent to  471.80 per dollar, pressured by lower prices of copper, Chile's top export.      Fears that Chilean policymakers may intervene in the market to curb the  currency's strength also weighed on the peso, which has gained about 1.5 percent  since the beginning of the year.        Latin American FX prices at 1910 GMT:         Currencies                           Daily  YTD pct                                          pct   change                              Latest   change     Brazil real                2.0305     0.00     0.47                                                  Mexico peso               12.6980    -0.45     1.31                                                  Chile peso               471.8000    -0.34     1.46                                                  Colombia peso           1779.5000    -0.01    -0.76                                                  Peru sol                   2.5580    -0.12    -0.27                                                  Argentina peso             4.9650    -0.05    -1.06     Argentina peso             7.6000    -0.53   -10.79  
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