Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar, shares rangebound ahead of Fed meeting

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar, shares rangebound ahead of Fed meeting
Jun 18th 2013, 08:58

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Tue Jun 18, 2013 4:58am EDT

  * European shares flat after early dip, Nikkei ends down 0.2  pct      * Dollar rises vs yen, choppy against basket of key  currencies      * Oil eases off 10-week high, gold falls        By Marc Jones      LONDON, June 18 (Reuters) - Global markets mostly stuck to  tight ranges on Tuesday, with uncertainty about the future of  the U.S. monetary stimulus programme keeping investors on edge  as the Federal Reserve prepared to meet.      The U.S. central bank kicks off a two-day meeting later in  the day and markets are on alert for guidance on when and how  quickly it will look to wind down its bond buying programme.      After a calmer session for Asian markets, European shares   recovered from an early dip to stand almost unchanged  on the day and U.S. futures pointed to a subdued start on Wall  Street.      "I don't think we will get any great retreat from the  expectation that tapering (slowing of bond purchases) is really  quite imminent," said Nick Beecroft senior market analyst at  Saxo Bank.       "I think the Fed is secretly sitting with its fingers  crossed, hoping that the froth continues to be skimmed off asset  markets. I don't think they will be bothered at all if the  S&P500 or other risk markets fall 5 or 10 percent, as long as it  didn't happen in a (single) day."      The dollar was firmer against the yen, hovering above  a two-month low against Japanese currency, although it was  slightly down against other majors including the euro.       That was despite comments in Israel from European Central  Bank chief Mario Draghi, who said the bank remained ready to cut  rates again if needed and kept the door open to the idea of the  ECB charging on deposits parked by banks.      "There are numerous other measures - standard interest rate  policy and non-standard measures - that we can deploy and that  we will deploy if circumstances warrant," Draghi said.      He also said the calmer conditions in the euro zone meant  monetary policy had regained its "steering capacity" again.                    DAY AT THE ZEW      In the debt markets, German Bund futures dipped in  line with U.S. Treasuries on the expectations the Fed may signal  it is moving closer to trimming its bond purchases. Analysts  also had one eye on the release of Germany's ZEW business  sentiment survey at 0900 GMT.       Economists polled by Reuters see a uptick in the mood in  Germany but the Bundesbank has already warned there could be  another slowdown in the second half of the year.       Underscoring the wider regional malaise, new figures showed  car sales in Europe plunged to the lowest level in two decades  last month.          The nervousness ahead of the Fed meeting restricted  growth-linked metals like copper as well as safe-haven  and inflation-attuned assets such as gold to minor moves.      Brent crude was also barely changed around $105,  holding near a 10-week high, as fears that the tensions in Syria  could spark conflict in more oil-rich parts of the region  provided a prop for the otherwise Fed-focused market.      "The market has certainly built in a risk premium (from  Syria) into prices, and this should keep it supported despite  fundamentals suggesting that there is more than enough oil out  there to buffer a disruption," said Carl Larry of Oil Outlooks  and Opinions.  
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