Tuesday, June 4, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar up with U.S. payrolls ahead

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar up with U.S. payrolls ahead
Jun 4th 2013, 15:49

Tue Jun 4, 2013 11:49am EDT

  * Dollar recovers from one-month lows vs yen      * European shares rebound after recent drops, Wall Street  edges up      * Japanese strategy eyed for gauge on commitment to stimulus          NEW YORK, June 4 (Reuters) - Stocks and the dollar gained  slightly on Tuesday as investors positioned ahead of Friday's  U.S. jobs data even as expectations remained intact that the  Federal Reserve will maintain its stimulus program to bolster  the nascent U.S. economic recovery.      Markets were generally more settled than in recent sessions  as a minor lull in the week's busy schedule of central bank  meetings and U.S. data offered a break from recent sharp moves.  But as European markets wound down, the dollar surrendered some  gains against major currencies.       Investors were already holding off making big bets until  Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report shows the employment  situation, the key factor for the Fed's decision on monetary  policy. Without a major data driver other than Monday's U.S.  factory activity, there was even less incentive  to trade.       On Wednesday, the market will get an anecdotal look at U.S.  economic conditions from the Fed's Beige Book. A preliminary  view on U.S. jobs will come with the ADP national employment  data for May.       "We are seeing the continuation of yesterday's relief rally  after the big sell-off last week. We are still in relief buying  mode but volatility has ticked up significantly here," said Ryan  Detrick, senior analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research in  Cincinnati, Ohio.      The Dow Jones industrial average was up 1.64 points,  or 0.01 percent, at 15,255.67. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index   was up 0.66 points, or 0.04 percent, at 1,641.08. The  Nasdaq Composite Index was up 9.32 points, or 0.27  percent, at 3,474.69.       Some analysts were pointing to technical factors to say the  market, with the S&P 500 up more than 15 percent so far this  year, is not as strong as it looks.      "It seems like the market just wants to go higher and  higher, but one thing that worries me is the advance-decline  numbers, which hit the worst in four years yesterday," said  Frank Gretz, market analyst and technician for brokerage  Wellington Shields & Co. in New York.      The ratio of advancing stocks to declining stocks is used to  gauge the strength of the index price trend and the chance it  will reverse.      European stocks were off the highs of the day but  remained 0.3 percent higher and on course to snap a two-day  losing streak that had left them at their lowest level since  early May.       MSCI's world share index, which tracks  stocks in 45 countries, was up 0.4 percent.            ECB MEETING      With investors also keeping positions tight ahead of the  European Central Bank and Bank of England monthly meetings on  Thursday, German Bund futures dipped and peripheral  euro zone debt edged up.      A 10-month rally in euro zone debt has waned in recent weeks  as talk of a cut in Fed stimulus has pushed up yields.       The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was  down 2/32, the yield at 2.1337 percent.       Commodity markets were also steadier. Copper climbed  for a second session, while gold was slightly soft.       After the volatility of recent days caused by an escalation  of political tensions, Turkish shares and the lira   regained ground. That meant that most of the bigger  moves of the day were once again on Asian stock markets.       Japan's Nikkei rose 2 percent, its biggest one-day  rise in three weeks as currency swings amplified moves ahead of  Wednesday's announcement from Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on the  third leg of his "Abenomics" stimulus strategy.      The Nikkei was at a 5-1/2-year peak and up more than 50  percent on the year until two weeks ago but has since lost 15  percent as doubts about the $1.4 trillion stimulus drive have  crept in.      Abe's latest changes are likely to center on economic  reforms but sources told Reuters the government could also  include steps urging Japan's public pension funds to boost their  investment in equities and overseas.       "We are right at the start of a multi-year process  probably," said Grant Lewis, a Daiwa Securities economist in  London.      The dollar gained 0.6 percent against the yen but was  off the session high. The euro was little changed against the  dollar.            AUSTRALIA HOLDS, ECB TO FOLLOW      Australian shares rose 0.3 percent and the Aussie  dollar dropped 1.4 percent after the country's central  bank left interest rates unchanged, as expected, but said there  was some scope for further easing.       The firmer U.S dollar also pushed the kiwi dollar lower.  
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