Friday, September 20, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie weakens after Canada inflation data, Fed eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie weakens after Canada inflation data, Fed eyed
Sep 20th 2013, 14:00

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Fri Sep 20, 2013 10:00am EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0289 against U.S. currency      * Canadian inflation down a tad, as expected, in August      * Canadian bond prices mostly higher across the curve        By Leah Schnurr      TORONTO, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened on  Friday as investors tried to gauge how long the U.S. central  bank will keep its economic stimulus in place, while an  inflation report at home reinforced the view Canadian interest  rates will stay low for some time.      Canada's annual inflation rate edged down in August to 1.1  percent from 1.3 percent in July, as expected, giving the Bank  of Canada plenty of space to remain accommodative.         The central bank is expected to keep its benchmark interest  rate on hold at 1.0 percent - where it has been since September  2010 - well into next year, as long as inflation is muted.         "The implication from that is that the Bank of Canada should  have lots of breathing room to remain sidelined to nurture the  broader economic recovery," said Mazen Issa, macro strategist at  TD Securities.       For the most part, the report did not change expectations  that the central bank will keep rates steady at its next meeting  in October.       The Canadian dollar was at C$1.0289 to the U.S.  dollar, or 97.19 U.S. cents, weaker than Thursday's session  close of C$1.0262, or 97.45 U.S. cents.       Investors continued to digest a decision from the U.S.  Federal Reserve earlier in the week to maintain its $85 billion  a month in bond purchases, a move which surprised economists and  investors who had expected the Fed to modestly reduce the amount  of purchases.      The Canadian dollar surged in the immediate aftermath of the  announcement, touching a three-month high, but has pulled back  since. By Friday, the U.S. dollar was edging off its lows and  was up 0.1 percent against a basket of currencies.      "At this point there's questions about more transparency,  and what exactly (Fed Chairman Ben) Bernanke's thinking was in  terms of the Fed's quantitative easing program still remains  elusive," said Issa.      "There may be some hesitancy to take any outsized  positions."       Analysts will be scrutinizing a round of speeches from Fed  members scheduled for Friday for further insight into how much  longer the Fed will continue stimulus.       St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in an interview  early Friday the Fed could still reduce its bond buying at its  meeting in October if data points to a stronger economy.         Prices for Canadian government bonds were mostly higher  across the maturity curve, with the two-year bond up  4 and a half Canadian cents to yield 1.232 percent, and the  benchmark 10-year bond was unchanged to yield 2.713  percent.  
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