Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks soar, bond yields fall after Fed surprise

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks soar, bond yields fall after Fed surprise
Sep 18th 2013, 22:49

Wed Sep 18, 2013 6:49pm EDT

  * Wall Street hits new highs as Fed keeps stimulus intact      * Fed decision not to taper bond buying surprises market      * Bond yields drop as Fed maintains purchases, U.S. dollar  drops          By Herbert Lash      NEW YORK, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Stocks and gold jumped while  the U.S. dollar and bond yields fell sharply on Wednesday after  the Federal Reserve surprised investors by postponing the start  of the wind down of its massive monetary stimulus, saying it  wanted to wait for more evidence of solid economic growth.        The U.S. benchmark S&P 500 stock index closed at a  record high and the dollar fell to a seven-month low against the  euro after the Fed released its statement at 2 p.m. EDT (1800  GMT). The dollar fell 1.0 percent against the yen.      Markets were widely expecting the Fed to reduce its  $85-billion-per-month asset-buying scheme by at least $10  billion after comments by Fed chairman Bernanke in May and June  suggested a reduction in bond purchases was likely late this  year.             The Fed said it would await evidence of stronger economic  growth before adjusting the pace of its purchases, and in a  press conference, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said  market expectations cannot dictate policy actions.      "The initial reaction was positive, with people thinking,  'Here we go, more liquidity in the market.' That's a good thing  as far as being an ongoing tailwind," said David Joy, chief  market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Boston, where he  helps oversee $703 billion in assets under management.      "But the decision also means the economy isn't as strong as  we'd like, which has implications for corporate earnings down  the road."      Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes gained  more than a full point, up 1 12/32 in price to yield 2.68  percent, down from 2.86 percent before the statement.       Gold posted its largest one-day gain since June 2012, rising  more than 4.0 percent to $1,364.26 an ounce, rebounding off a  six-week low set earlier in the day.       The Fed downgraded its economic forecasts for the U.S.  economy. It now sees growth in a 2.0 percent to 2.3 percent  range this year, down from 2.3 percent to 2.6 percent in its  June estimates. The downgrade for 2014 was even sharper.         "The Federal Reserve remains quite concerned about the  overall sluggishness of the economy, preferring to take the risk  of being too loose for too long as opposed to tighten  prematurely," said Mohamed El-Erian, co-chief investment officer  at Pimco, which manages the world's largest mutual fund.       The Dow Jones industrial average was up 115.28  points, or 0.74 percent, at 15,645.01. The Standard & Poor's 500  Index was up 15.60 points, or 0.92 percent, at 1,720.36.  The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 25.59 points, or 0.68  percent, at 3,771.29.      Latin American markets reacted positively to the Fed's move  on Wednesday, with stocks reversing losses seen in emerging  markets over the summer. The MSCI Latin American stock index   rose 2.7 percent to 3,428.45 following the  announcement, after having spent most of the session with little  changes.      Asian shares traded in the U.S. also rose. The BNYMellonAsia  ADR Index rose 2.6 percent to hit highs not seen since  June 2008.      "In the near-term it's obviously bullish for emerging market  assets," said Neil Shearing, chief emerging markets economist  with Capital Economics in London. "That will be the theme for  the next day or so as markets begin to adjust to expectations  for a more gradual pace of tightening."      Investors were now left to wonder about the sustainability  of Wednesday's rally in stocks and bonds. The Fed had engendered  a sharp rise in bond yields in the past three months largely  through its own words that forced investors to adjust forecasts.  Whether equity markets can continue to rally on a statement that  underlines concerns about the economy is unclear.      The U.S. dollar index fell as low as 80.376, the  lowest since Feb. 20. It was last at 80.481, down 0.8 percent.  The euro climbed to a seven-month peak of $1.3486. It  last changed hands at $1.3469, up 0.8 percent.      Against the yen, the dollar fell to 97.98 yen, a  three-week low and by mid-afternoon trading, it was down 0.8  percent at 98.35.  
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