Monday, October 28, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ strengthens after last week's rout, Fed eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ strengthens after last week's rout, Fed eyed
Oct 28th 2013, 20:25

Mon Oct 28, 2013 4:25pm EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0445 vs US$, or 95.74 U.S. cents      * Canada dollar consolidates after last week's slide      * U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting in focus      * Canadian bond prices mixed across the curve        By Leah Schnurr      TORONTO, Oct 28 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened  against the greenback on Monday, recovering some of its recent  sharp drop, though investors were cautious ahead of a meeting of  Federal Reserve policymakers later this week.      Highlighting weaker-than-expected growth and inflation  figures, the Bank of Canada last week dropped any mention of  eventual rate increases from its latest policy statement,  leading to expectations among analysts that rates will stay low  for longer.        The central bank has kept its key rate at 1 percent since  2010, and analysts said the removal of its rate-rise bias gives  its policy stance a more neutral tone.      The policy shift took the "loonie" to a 1-1/2-month low by  Friday and the currency lost 1.6 percent for the week.      "We're in that zone where the Bank of Canada has set its  tone now for a little bit here - growth forecasts down and  interest rate hikes on the distant horizon," said Don Mikolich,  executive director of foreign exchange sales at CIBC World  Markets.      The Canadian dollar ended the North American  session at C$1.0445 versus the greenback, or 95.74 U.S. cents,  stronger than Friday's close of C$1.0455, or 95.65 U.S. cents.       Traders may get further insight in the Bank of Canada's  decision on Tuesday when BoC Governor Stephen Poloz appears  before a parliamentary finance committee in Ottawa.      Investors also had their focus on the Federal Reserve's  two-day meeting, starting on Tuesday, though the U.S. central  bank was expected to hold the line on its economic stimulus  efforts.       The Fed surprised markets in September with its decision to  continue its bond-buying program at a $85 billion a month pace,  rather than trimming the amount. The Canadian dollar touched a  three-month high following that announcement, but has weakened  since.      "We're basically just consolidating after last week," said  Scott Smith, senior market analyst at Cambridge Mercantile Group  in Calgary.       "The change in the Bank of Canada stance on interest rates  and the outlook for monetary policy in Canada has really trumped  that risk-on atmosphere in the 'loonie' that we got from the  delay in tapering," he added.      Barring any surprises, the Canada dollar is likely to trade  in a range between the low C$1.05 area and the high C$1.03  levels, said Smith.      Also on the data horizon this week is Canadian gross  domestic product for August, due on Thursday.      Canadian government bond prices were mixed across the  maturity curve. The two-year bond was unchanged to  yield 1.088 percent, and the benchmark 10-year bond   slipped 2 Canadian cents to yield 2.424 percent.  
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