Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar inches up as market awaits Fed decision

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar inches up as market awaits Fed decision
Oct 30th 2013, 09:09

Wed Oct 30, 2013 5:09am EDT

  * Dollar index edges up to one-week high      * Traders trim bearish dollar bets before Fed decision      * Markets priced for Fed leaving stimulus intact until 2014        By Jessica Mortimer      LONDON, Oct 30 (Reuters) - The dollar edged up to a one-week  high against a basket of major currencies on Wednesday as  investors trimmed their recent bearish bets ahead of a  post-policy meeting statement from the Federal Reserve.      The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely  expected to keep its massive bond-buying programme unchanged  when it announces its decision at 1800 GMT and to signal that it  is unlikely to begin scaling back the stimulus programme until  2014.       Still, analysts said expectations of a delay to Fed  tapering, probably until at least March, may be already priced  into the dollar, prompting investors who sold the U.S. currency  in recent days to start buying it back.      The dollar index was up 0.1 percent at 79.663, having  touched an eight-day peak of 79.692 as it pulled away from  Friday's nine-month low of 78.998.        "We are seeing some position squaring ahead of the FOMC  meeting," said Niels Christensen, currency strategist at Nordea.   "Everyone is expecting a cautious statement on the economic  outlook, pointing to no tapering until next year."      He said market participants were divided on whether the Fed  would scale back monetary easing in the first quarter or later.  Any signal it was prepared to do so before year-end would be a  surprise and cause "a huge positive dollar reaction".       The euro was steady at $1.3743, having backed off a  23-month peak of $1.3833 set on Friday. Traders said the euro's  failure to make a sustained break above $1.3800 left it  vulnerable to a correction.       Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.1 percent at 98.23 yen  , having hit a one-week high of 98.315 yen.      "It's basically some short covering of the dollar, which had  been sold earlier," said Satoshi Okagawa, senior global markets  analyst at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation in Singapore.      But he said market players would probably hold off from  aggressive dollar buying given uncertainty about the economic  outlook after this month's partial U.S. government shutdown.      Data due on Wednesday includes U.S. private sector  employment numbers for October from ADP, which comes ahead of  the closely watched non-farm payrolls data for October, due on  Nov. 8.       A majority of U.S. primary dealers polled by Reuters last  week said the Fed would not start cutting monthly bond purchases  until next March.                 The Australian dollar was up 0.4 percent at  $0.9507, recovering from an earlier 2-1/2 week low of $0.9459  after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said the  currency was "unusually high".  
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