Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar steady as market awaits Fed decision

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar steady as market awaits Fed decision
Oct 30th 2013, 12:13

Wed Oct 30, 2013 8:13am EDT

  * Dollar index steadies, near earlier one-week high      * Traders trim bearish dollar bets before Fed decision      * Markets priced for Fed leaving stimulus intact until 2014      * Euro up slightly after solid euro zone sentiment data        By Jessica Mortimer      LONDON, Oct 30 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied near an  earlier one-week high against a basket of major currencies on  Wednesday, with investors wary of selling it before a  post-policy meeting statement from the Federal Reserve.      The dollar index stood at 79.541, having touched an  eight-day peak of 79.692. It remained well above Friday's  nine-month low of 78.998.        The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely  expected to keep its massive bond-buying programme unchanged  when it announces its decision at 1800 GMT and to signal that it  is unlikely to begin scaling back the stimulus programme until  2014.       Still, analysts said expectations of a delay to Fed  tapering, probably until at least March, may be already priced  into the dollar, prompting investors who sold the U.S. currency  in recent days to start buying it back.      "With the Fed event risk people don't want to enter new  short positions," said Chris Turner, head of currency strategy  at ING.      However, he said the dollar was likely to turn weaker after  the Fed announcement, potentially pushing the euro beyond its  recent highs, unless policymakers stressed the economic impact  of this month's U.S. government shutdown would be temporary.      The dollar was also pulled off its highs as the euro turned  slightly higher after data showed a jump in euro zone sentiment  in October, which offset figures revealing an unexpected rise in  the German jobless total.        The euro was up 0.1 percent at $1.3762, having backed  off a 23-month peak of $1.3833 set on Friday. Traders said the  euro's failure to make a sustained break above $1.3800 left it  vulnerable to a correction.       The euro was also supported by comments late on Tuesday by  European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny,  who said he saw no tools the central bank could use to dampen a  strengthening euro.       Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.1 percent at 98.22 yen  , having hit a one-week high of 98.315 yen.      A majority of U.S. primary dealers polled by Reuters last  week said the Fed would not start cutting monthly bond purchases  until next March.            "Everyone is expecting a cautious statement on the economic  outlook, pointing to no tapering until next year," said  Niels  Christensen, currency strategist at Nordea.      He said any signal the Fed was prepared to scale back  stimulus before year-end would be a surprise and cause "a huge  positive dollar reaction".       The Australian dollar was up 0.25 percent at  $0.9495, recovering from an earlier 2-1/2 week low of $0.9459  after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said the  currency was "unusually high".  
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