Thursday, May 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro slumps; safe-haven yen rallies broadly

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro slumps; safe-haven yen rallies broadly
May 31st 2012, 16:25

Thu May 31, 2012 12:25pm EDT

  * Euro falls below $1.2350 to 23-month low      * An Irish 'yes' vote could provide only a brief reprieve      * Weak U.S. data raise worries about Friday's jobs report        By Wanfeng Zhou           NEW YORK, May 31 (Reuters) - The euro tumbled to a near  two-year low against the dollar and hit its weakest in more than  a decade versus the yen on Thursday as worries about Spain and  disappointing U.S. economic data prompted traders to shed  riskier investment.           The yen rallied across the board as investors sought safety  ahead of U.S. jobs data for May. The dollar also benefited from  safe-haven flows, rising to its strongest in 21 months against a  basket of currencies.         Spanish bond yields remained near record highs on fears  Spain would eventually have to ask for a bailout. The European  Commission's top economic official, Olli Rehn, warned that the  single currency area could disintegrate without stronger  crisis-fighting mechanisms and tough fiscal discipline.       Adding to the negative tone was a slew of bearish U.S. data  on the labor market, first-quarter economic growth and  manufacturing in the U.S. Midwest, which all pointed to a  slowdown in the recovery.             The government is slated to release its May nonfarm payrolls  report on Friday, with economists polled by Reuters looking for  an increase of 150,000 jobs, up from 115,000 in April.        "I think the fear is for a much weaker number. If we get a  number below 100,000, that would probably sustain the negative  momentum," Vassili Serebriakov, currency strategist at Wells  Fargo in New York.            "I'm not sure if it would necessarily accelerate it. But a  number below 100,000 would be seen as the most significant sign  of the U.S. economy slowing."         The euro fell as low as $1.2335 on Reuters data, the  weakest since the beginning of July 2010 and was last down 0.1  percent at $1.2359.           It had edged higher on expectations of an Irish vote in  favor of Europe's fiscal pact but investors quickly sold into  rallies.              Ireland began casting ballots in the only popular vote on  Europe's new fiscal treaty on Thursday, with opinion polls  pointing to a 'yes' vote that could ease concerns about its  funding prospects.            The euro zone common currency was on track for a loss of 6.6  percent in May, the worst monthly performance since September   2011.         Against the yen, the euro fell 1.1 percent to 96.78 yen,  after having hit 96.48 yen on Reuters data, the weakest level  since December 2000.          The dollar fell 1 percent to 78.30 yen, hitting a  session low of 78.20, a three-and-a-half-month low.           Against a basket of six currencies, the dollar index   reached a high of 83.215, the highest since early September  2010.         It was last off 0.1 percent at 82.972 and looked set to  close above its 100-month average, at 81.823, for the first time  in almost 10 years.           A break of the 100-month average has been a good indicator  of a long-term trend change, having produced four successful  signals in the past 30 years.  
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