Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro falls near 2-year low as debt crisis widens

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro falls near 2-year low as debt crisis widens
May 30th 2012, 16:53

Wed May 30, 2012 12:53pm EDT

  * Euro heads toward low $1.20s on Spain worries      * Spanish debt yields near dangerous levels, risk of bailout  growing      * Italian borrowing costs soar at bond sale          By Wanfeng Zhou           NEW YORK, May 30 (Reuters) - The euro slumped to a near  two-year low against the dollar on Wednesday with no relief in  sight as Italian borrowing costs soared and concerns mounted  over Spain's banking sector.          Selling accelerated after the euro broke beneath the  psychologically important $1.25 level and option barrier at  $1.24, opening the way for a slide toward the low $1.20 area.  Rea l money and institutional investors stepped up selling on  signs the bloc's debt crisis is spreading to larger economies.        "I think everybody was looking for an excuse to jump on the  bandwagon for selling the euro," said Ravi Bharadwaj, market  analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington, D.C.       "The fear is that a lot of the imbalances that have been  built up so far have been funded and financed by banks in  Europe. As the different sovereign entities look to stabilize  their financial systems, they are in effect just feeding a  massive feedback loop."       Italy's funding costs rose sharply at a bond sale on  Wednesday, with 10-year yields topping 6 percent  for the first time since January. The Spanish equivalent   neared the dangerous 7 percent level that had  forced Ireland and Greece to seek bailouts.           The euro fell as low as $1.2384 on Reuters data, the  lowest since July 1, 2010. It was last at $1.2402, down 0.8  percent on the day. Support now lies around $1.2150, a low  touched in late June 2010, and then the 2010 low of $1.1875.          Adding to pressure on the euro were poll results showing  Greece's radical leftist SYRIZA party has taken the lead over  the pro-bailout conservatives. Greece is holding a national  parliamentary election next month that may determine whether the  debt-laden country stays in the euro zone.            The euro staged the short-lived bounce after the European  Commission said the euro zone should move towards a banking  union and consider eurobonds and the direct recapitalisation of  banks from its permanent bailout fund.        The jump in Italian and Spanish bond yields came a day after  Egan-Jones Ratings cut Spain's credit rating, the agency's third  downgrade of the country's sovereign rating in less than a  month, citing the country's weak banks as the reason for the  downgrade.            A government source told Reuters on Tuesday that Spain would  likely recapitalize Bankia, which asked for 19 billion  euros on Friday, by issuing new debt and possibly drawing cash  from the bank restructuring fund and Treasury  reserves.             "The euro is in an extremely vulnerable position and  downside risks are very strong indeed," said Jane Foley, senior  currency strategist at Rabobank. "The Spanish banking crisis has  the potential to knock the stuffing out of the euro zone  irrespective of the Greek election results."          "The issues for Spain are undoubtedly huge and most people  are coming round to the idea that it will need to go outside of  its borders for assistance. The longer it delays, the more the  risk of a bank run."          The euro lost 1.5 percent against the safe-haven yen  , taking it to a four-and-a-half month low of 97.73  yen. The dollar hit a three-and-a-half month low of 78.85 yen  and was last down 0.7 percent at 78.94.       The dollar index, which measures its value against a  basket of currencies, rise to a 20-month high of 82.941.              Technical analysts said a monthly close about the 100-month  average in the dollar index around 81.82 may herald a shift in  the longer-term trend of the dollar and reverse a multi-year  drift lower.          The dollar also rose to a 15-month high against the Swiss  franc at 0.9696 francs on EBS.                The higher-yielding Australian dollar fell 1.2 percent to  $0.9716, slipping towards a six-month low at $0.9690,  after weaker-than-expected retail sales data underscored the  case for interest rate cuts.  
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