Monday, July 23, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies slide on Spain bailout fears

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies slide on Spain bailout fears
Jul 23rd 2012, 16:04

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Mon Jul 23, 2012 12:04pm EDT

  * Half a dozen Spanish regions seen requesting financial aid      * JP Morgan recommends selling Chilean peso      * Mexico peso down 1.3 percent, Brazil real falls 0.9  percent        By Walter Brandimarte and Natalia Cacioli      RIO DE JANEIRO, July 23 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies fell on Monday as growing fears that Spain could lose  access to credit markets drove investors into the perceived  safety of the U.S. dollar.      Mexico's peso, the most traded Latin American  currency, slumped 1.3 percent while the Brazilian real    lost 0.9 percent on fears Spain would need to be rescued  by its euro zone partners, further stretching the region's  finances.      The Chilean peso lost 0.8 percent on a fall in the   price of copper, the country's main export, and following JP  Morgan's recommendation to sell the currency.      "Clearly external markets are weighing on the real. The  perception of risk has worsened, with Spain returning to  investors' focus," said Flavio Serrano, a senior economist with  BES Investimento in Sao Paulo.      Worries that Madrid would be forced into an EU bailout grew  after reports that the Spanish region of Murcia was on track to  become the second in the country to seek financial assistance  from the central government. Half a dozen regional governments  in the country were ready to do the same, according to Spanish  media.       Yields paid on Spain's 10-year bonds soared to  more than 7.5 percent, raising questions about the country's  ability to refinance its debt obligations in capital markets.      As investors' aversion to risk grew, the Mexican peso  weakened to 13.5346 per U.S. dollar, its weakest in three weeks  and sharply above its 100-day and 200-day simple moving  averages.        The Brazilian real weakened to as much as 2.0448 per dollar,  a level not seen since July 12.      The Chilean peso fell to 493.00 per dollar in its second  consecutive session of losses, after closing at a more than  two-month high of 485.40 on Thursday.      Its recent gains led JP Morgan to recommend investors to  sell the currency, targeting a price of 500 per dollar.      "The outperformance of the Chilean economy seems largely  priced in the peso," JP Morgan analyst Carlos Carranza wrote in  a note to clients. He said the bank has recently cut its  forecast for copper prices, which should limit the upside for  the Chilean peso.         Latin American FX prices at 1540 GMT:         Currencies                            daily %     YTD %                                          change    change                                Latest               Brazil real                  2.0414     -0.91     -8.47                                                     Mexico peso                 13.5346     -1.25      3.21                                                     Argentina peso*              6.3900      0.94    -25.98                                                     Chile peso                 493.0000     -0.81      5.33                                                     Colombia peso            1,791.2000     -0.60      8.22                                                     Peru sol                     2.6390      0.00      2.20                                                     * Argentine peso's rate between                           brokerages  
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