Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX gains on ECB talk, US stimulus hopes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX gains on ECB talk, US stimulus hopes
Jul 25th 2012, 21:46

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 5:46pm EDT

  * Brazil central banker signals willingness to intervene      * Brazil real firms 0.34 pct, Mexico peso up 0.78 pct        By Rachel Uranga and Natalia Cacioli      MEXICO CITY/SAO PAULO, July 25 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies gained on Wednesday, halting a three-day slide, as  investors speculate that the U.S. Federal Reserve may soon  deploy additional monetary stimulus and hopes rose Europe could  stem the region's debt crisis.      The Brazilian real  firmed by 0.34 percent and  the Mexican peso strengthened 0.78 percent. Meanwhile,  the Chilean peso was 0.65 percent higher.      A European Central Bank policymaker said on Wednesday he was  open to the idea of giving Europe's new permanent rescue fund a  banking license, which would enable it to borrow unlimited  central bank money and boost its capacity to fight the crisis.      "Anything that increases the ability to purchase sovereign  debt and extend the timeframe to which some euro zone countries  may need to lower their debt levels and boost growth is seen as  a positive development," said Clyde Wardle, a Latin American  currency strategist at HSBC in New York. "But all of this is all  based on comments rather than firm decisions."      The currencies of Brazil, Mexico and Chile all posted losses  in the past three sessions as concerns were heightened that  Spain could need a full-fledged bailout.      In the days ahead, Wardle said a jump in yields in Spain and  Italy could weaken the Mexican peso, one of the most widely  traded currencies and highly sensitive to global economic  sentiment.       Meanwhile, signs of a gloomy global economy limited gains in  higher-risk assets. Weak readings on Britain's gross domestic  product, falling U.S. new home sales and a German business  sentiment survey all added to worries about the global economic  outlook.       In Brazil, market players remained concerned the government  would meddle in currency markets if the real moves outside of  the central bank's comfort zone in the range between 2.00 and  2.10 per dollar.      Central bank governor Alexandre Tombini on Tuesday  reiterated the bank is ready to intervene into local currency  markets when they are "not working properly."       Riskier assets, including emerging market currencies, got a  lift from a report in The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday saying  the Federal Reserve may be moving closer to more stimulus that  would aid the economy.       The Fed's past bond buying programs have driven down yields  on U.S. Treasury debt and pushed investors to seek out higher  yields in riskier assets.       "Expectations that the Fed may move up its third round of  stimulus to August encouraged investors," said Luciano Rostagno,  chief strategist at WestLB bank in Sao Paulo.      Latin American FX prices at 2050 GMT:         Currencies                               daily pct     yearly                                    Latest     change        pct                                                          change   Brazil real                      2.0363       0.34      -8.11                                                          Mexico peso                     13.6010       0.78       2.71                                                          Argentina peso*                  6.4100       0.31     -26.21                                                          Chile peso                     491.5000       0.65       5.66                                                          Peru sol                         2.6370       0.15       2.28                                                          * Argentina peso's rate between                                 brokerages  
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