Monday, July 23, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro falls to 2-year low vs dollar on Spain fears

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro falls to 2-year low vs dollar on Spain fears
Jul 23rd 2012, 19:02

Mon Jul 23, 2012 3:02pm EDT

  * Spanish bond yields jump to new highs, edging towards 8  pct      * Euro poised to take out key $1.20 area, mid-2010 low  $1.1875 eyed      * International lenders to arrive in Athens Tuesday          NEW YORK, July 23 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a two-year  low against the U.S. dollar and a nearly 12-year trough against  the yen on Monday on fears Spain is edging closer to needing a  full-scale bailout that the euro zone cannot afford to give.      Ten-year Spanish bond yields jumped as high as  7.596 percent, the highest since the euro was created in 1999.  That saw the euro drop for a fourth straight day against the  dollar to hit a low of $1.2067, the weakest since June 2010.      Traders and analysts say the euro looks poised to take out  the key $1.20 threshold. A break beneath could see the currency  head towards its June 2010 low of $1.1875, which marked the  weakest since March 2006.      "With the 10-year yield above 7 percent and quickly  approaching 8 percent, we're at that moment where it starts to  look a lot more real than it was even just a few weeks ago,"  said John Doyle, foreign-exchange strategist at Tempus  Consulting in Washington, referring to a full-scale sovereign  bailout for Spain.      Adding to pressure on the euro was a weekend report that the  International Monetary Fund may refuse to contribute further  funding for Greece. The IMF dismissed the report, saying it was  "supporting Greece in overcoming its economic difficulties."      The European Central bank, the European Commission and the  International Monetary Fund -- known as the troika -- will  arrive in Athens on Tuesday to push for further cuts needed for  the country to qualify for further rescue payments.      The euro last traded at $1.2125, down 0.3 percent.  After closing at $1.2156 in New York on Friday, it "gapped"  lower to open at $1.2120 in Asia on Monday morning, signifying  the market perceived the value of the euro had dropped over the  weekend in response to events in the euro zone.      Some $6.41 billion of euros have changed hands on Reuters  Dealing through the Monday session.      Against the yen, the euro dropped to 94.22 yen, a  level not seen since late 2000.      Weakness in the euro was across the board as it also hit a  record low versus the Australian dollar, a more than  3-1/2-year low against sterling and a 9-1/2-year low  versus the Norwegian crown.        FUNDING STRAINS      Tiny Murcia was on course to be the second Spanish region to  request help from the central government, and media reported  half a dozen local authorities were ready to follow in the  footsteps of Valencia.       Spanish media believe six regions will now seek help after  the announcement by the heavily indebted Valencia rattled  markets on Friday, complicating Madrid's efforts to avoid a  full-blown bailout.       Catalonia, Spain's biggest region by gross domestic product,  also has the highest debt. It said this week it had not decided  whether to tap the funding mechanism, though it is an  increasingly likely candidate.      Axel Merk, portfolio manager of the $500 million Merk Hard  Currency Fund in Palo Alto, California, said the market is  pricing in the reality that "the Spanish government is now  clearly on the hook for the regions' debt.      "Spain's central government is expected to bail out its  regions - and in return may ask for a bailout itself," he wrote  to clients. "As long as debt is merely shuffled around, the euro  zone crisis won't be solved. And as long as ever more guarantees  are provided - from regional to national governments, from  supranational issuers such as the European Stability Mechanism  (ESM) to the International Monetary Fund, the more the global  financial system as a whole may be at risk."      Italy may be under similar pressure, with a newspaper  quoting unnamed government specialists as saying that 10 Italian  cities including Naples and Palermo face problems managing their  finances.       The dollar fell to a seven-week low of 77.95 yen,  before rebounding to 78.43, little changed on the day.      Japan's vice finance minister for international affairs was  reported as saying the country will not exclude any options when  responding to excessive currency moves, although traders said  the authorities were unlikely to consider intervening while the  dollar held above 76 yen.  
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