Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Yen rises against dollar, euro after BoJ disappoints

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Yen rises against dollar, euro after BoJ disappoints
Jan 22nd 2013, 21:17

Tue Jan 22, 2013 4:17pm EST

  * Yen rebounds as BOJ decision disappoints      * BoJ open-ended asset purchases to take effect in 2014      * BoJ doubles inflation target to 2 percent          NEW YORK, Jan 22 (Reuters) - The yen soared 1 percent  against the dollar and euro on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan  said its open-ended commitment to buy assets would kick in only  next year, disappointing those who had expected more aggressive  monetary easing.      But the euro pared some losses against the yen and recovered  versus the dollar after a German ZEW survey showed that economic  sentiment was at the highest since May 2012.       The common currency had fallen to a session low against the  dollar and yen on speculation that some large German banks could  be asked to split their investment banking operations, driving  European shares lower.      But the biggest mover was the yen, with the Bank of Japan  once again falling short of expectations. The yen rose in the  aftermath, even as some traders said the move higher would be  limited.        "A dominate yen outshined its rivals after actions by the  Bank of Japan were considered by many to be underwhelming and  disappointing," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at  Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.      Japan's central bank, which has been under intense political  pressure to overcome deflation, doubled its inflation target to  2 percent, as had been widely expected.       It also said it had decided to switch to an open-ended  approach of buying a certain amount of assets each month next  year, without setting a deadline for completing the purchases.       The dollar was down 0.9 percent against the yen at 88.74  . Earlier, it had fallen past reported stops at 88.50 yen  to hit a session low of 88.35.       Traders cited bids at 88.00-88.20 yen while chart support  was at the Jan. 16 low. The dollar had risen to 90.06 yen  immediately after the BOJ decision, not far from its 2-1/2-year  high of 90.25 yen, but later retreated.      The yen's recovery was likely to be short-lived and the  dollar would rise against the yen in the coming months, analysts  said.        "The general upward move in dollar/yen will continue due to  expectations of more easing after a new BoJ governor is  appointed in April," said Bernd Berg, global FX strategist at  Credit Suisse, adding that the dollar could rise to 92 yen in  the next few months.       Current BoJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa's term ends in April  and markets are positioned for further yen weakness as most  expect him to be replaced by someone whose stance on aggressive  policy easing matches that of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's.            EURO RECOVERS      The euro was down 1 percent on the day at 118.16 yen  , though off a session low of 117.31. The euro was hurt  against the yen by a German newspaper report saying Germany's  regulator had ordered large banks to simulate a break-up.         A report showing U.S. home resales unexpectedly fell in  December added to volatility and pressure on the euro and  dollar, though the data was not seen as enough to derail the  boost housing will likely provide to the economy this year.  .         Against the dollar, the euro was little changed at $1.3317  .      While the euro has struggled to break above the $1.34 level  since it hit a near 10-month high a week ago, strategists said  it was likely to remain firm as concerns around the euro zone  crisis ease.      The German ZEW figures beat all expectations, a sign that  the euro zone crisis was no longer hitting Europe's largest  economy as hard as it was last year.       "The euro can cross the $1.34 mark to reach $1.35 as early  as the end of this week if data out of Germany continues to be  strong," said Joerg Angele, FX strategist at Raiffeisen Bank  International in London.       But Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth  Foreign Exchange in Washington, cautioned that failing to breach  $1.34 may mean a near term-top is in place for the euro.  
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