Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie weaker on U.S. shutdown, Yellen nomination

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-Loonie weaker on U.S. shutdown, Yellen nomination
Oct 9th 2013, 13:46

Wed Oct 9, 2013 9:46am EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0374 vs US$, or 96.39 U.S. cents      * Janet Yellen to be nominated to head Federal Reserve      * Shutdown, looming debt ceiling deadline has markets wary      * Bond prices mixed        By Leah Schnurr      TORONTO, Oct 9 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened on  Wednesday as the U.S. government shutdown stretched on and as  news that Janet Yellen will be nominated to run the Federal  Reserve pushed the greenback higher.       President Barack Obama will nominate Fed number two Yellen  on Wednesday to head the central bank. Investors were relieved  to get clarity on at least one unknown in the markets and  analysts say she will move cautiously in reining in the economic  stimulus the Fed has put in place.       At the same time, the partial federal government shutdown in  the United States dragged on. Obama said he would negotiate on  budget issues only if Republicans agree to re-open the federal  government and raise the debt limit with no conditions.         A budget impasse closed non-essential U.S. government  services early last week and the showdown is bringing lawmakers  closer to a separate and more crucial deadline to raise the debt  ceiling to avoid a potential default.      Investors are concerned the government shutdown will start  to bite into economic growth, which could hurt Canada, the  largest trading partner with the United States. The possibility  of a default has also sparked fears of the havoc it would wreak  on the global economy and markets.      Wednesday's strength in the U.S. dollar is unlikely to last  as the focal point turns back to the country's fiscal problems,  said Benjamin Reitzes, senior economist and foreign exchange  strategist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto.      "A weaker U.S. economy is clearly bad for Canada, so if the  U.S. dollar does weaken, Canada may not benefit that much," said  Reitzes.      The Canadian dollar was at C$1.0374, or 96.39 U.S.  cents, weaker than Tuesday's close of C$1.0368, or 96.45 U.S.  cents. The U.S. dollar was up 0.5 percent against a basket of  currencies.      The United States has until mid-October before it hits the  $16.7 trillion borrowing limit. The impasse was reminiscent of  the 2011 showdown over the debt ceiling, which yielded an  agreement only at the last minute.      "Accidents do happen when you're playing with fire. They  avoided it last time, who knows if they'll avoid it this time,"  said Reitzes.      "I'd expect something short-term - a few weeks or months -  to give the government more time to negotiate amongst  themselves."      Following a brief spike after the Federal Reserve's surprise  decision to stand pat on its economic stimulus on Sept. 18, the  Canadian dollar has been trading in a tight range for several  sessions.      The minutes of that Fed meeting will be released later on  Wednesday and investors will be looking for clues as to how  close the bank came to scaling back its stimulus.      Analysts see the loonie in a range between mid-C$1.02 and  mid-C$1.03 for now, baring a resolution or other catalyst.      Prices for Canadian government bonds were mixed across the  maturity curve. The two-year bond slipped 1 Canadian  cent to yield 1.195 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond   fell 20 Canadian cents to yield 2.564 percent.  
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