Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX up as data suggests continued U.S. stimulus

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX up as data suggests continued U.S. stimulus
Oct 22nd 2013, 13:48

Tue Oct 22, 2013 9:48am EDT

  RIO DE JANEIRO, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies  gained on Tuesday after a slower-than-expected jobs creation in  the United States supported the view that U.S. stimulus will  remain in place for longer, adding to investors' appetite for  risk.      The Mexican peso led gains in the region, up half a  percentage point, after the U.S. Labor Department said employers  added 148,000 jobs last month, fewer than the 180,000 posts  expected by economists.       "The negative economic data increase the chances that the  U.S. Federal Reserve will be more cautious when cutting back on  stimulus, which will result in a weaker dollar," said Flavio  Serrano, senior economist with Espirito Santo Investment Bank in  Sao Paulo.      The U.S. non-farm payrolls data for September was delayed by  a 16-day partial shutdown of the U.S. government this month.   Latin American currencies had already rallied earlier this month  as investors bet the Fed would keep the stimulus in place for  longer to offset the negative economic impact of the shutdown.           * The Mexican peso climbed 0.7 percent, recovering  almost all of the losses incurred on Monday, when weak local  retail sales data supported bets that the central bank will  lower interest rates later this week.       * Most analysts expect the Mexican central bank to cut its  benchmark interest rate for the second month in a row on Friday,  by 25 basis points to 3.5 percent, potentially reducing the  allure of the peso.       * The Brazilian real  posted a more modest gain  of 0.1 percent, however, as investors feared the central bank  would not roll over all of the $8.9 billion worth of currency  swaps that expire early next month.      * Brazil's central bank said late on Monday it would offer  as many as 20,000 currency swaps on Tuesday to start rolling  over the nearly 200,000 contracts that mature on Nov. 1. The  bank also said it could continue to roll over those swaps on  Wednesday and Thursday, but did not specify how many contracts  it would offer.            Latin America FX prices at 1315 GMT:          Currencies                        daily %    YTD %                                      change   change                             Latest              Brazil real               2.1790     0.10    -6.38                                                 Mexico peso              12.9040     0.67    -0.31                                                 Chile peso              500.3000     0.30    -4.32                                                 Colombia peso          1880.2500     0.22    -6.08                                                 Peru sol                  2.7740    -0.29    -8.04                                                 Argentina peso            5.8600     0.04   -16.17     Argentina peso            9.8600     0.20   -31.24  
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