Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX firms as US data suggests steady stimulus

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX firms as US data suggests steady stimulus
Oct 22nd 2013, 23:30

Tue Oct 22, 2013 7:30pm EDT

  MEXICO CITY, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies  gained on Tuesday after slower-than-expected jobs creation in  the United States supported the view that the U.S. Fed may  maintain its accommodative monetary policy into next year.      The Mexican peso led gains in the region, rallying  more than 1 percent, after the U.S. Labor Department said  employers added 148,000 jobs last month, fewer than the 180,000  posts expected by economists.       The U.S. non-farm payrolls data for September was delayed by  a 16-day partial shutdown of the U.S. government this month.  Latin American currencies had already rallied earlier this month  as investors bet the Fed would keep the stimulus in place for  longer to offset the negative economic impact of the shutdown.      The Fed's stimulus has held down yields on US Treasuries,  pushing investors to seek out higher returns in riskier assets,  such as emerging market currencies.           * The Mexican peso climbed 1.13 percent to 12.8450  per dollar, recovering almost all of the losses incurred on  Monday when weak local retail sales data supported bets that the  central bank will lower interest rates later this week.       * Most analysts expect the Mexican central bank to cut its  benchmark interest rate for the second month in a row on Friday,  by 25 basis points to 3.5 percent.       * A poll on Tuesday from Citigroup-unit Banamex showed an  increasing minority of analysts expect Mexico's central bank to  opt for a more aggressive 50-basis-point interest rate cut.         * Traders said a 25-basis-point cut would not likely hurt  the appeal of the peso, but a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut  could drive the Mexican currency back toward 13 per dollar.       * The Brazilian real  firmed 0.51 percent amid  speculation the central bank could shift its intervention  program if the currency keeps gaining ground.      * Some analysts think Brazil's central bank will not roll  over all of the $8.9 billion worth of currency swaps that expire  early next month. The swaps are a hedge against a possible  depreciation of the real.               Latin America FX prices at 2300 GMT:          Currencies                          daily %    YTD %                                        change   change                               Latest              Brazil real                 2.1720     0.51    -5.99                                                   Mexico peso                12.8450     1.13     0.15                                                   Chile peso                499.5000     0.46    -4.16                                                   Colombia peso            1879.9000     0.24    -6.06                                                   Peru sol                    2.7540     0.73    -7.37                                                   Argentina peso              5.8600     0.04   -16.17     Argentina peso             10.0300    -1.40   -32.40  
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