Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar rises against the yen on U.S. debt deal prospects

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FOREX-Dollar rises against the yen on U.S. debt deal prospects Oct 16th 2013, 12:50 Share this Email Print Reprints Wed Oct 16, 2013 8:50am EDT * Dollar/yen trades near two-week high * Markets expect last-minute U.S. debt deal * Senate aides say agreement near, details still unclear NEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The dollar rose against the yen on Wednesday but fell against most other major currencies on renewed assurances from U.S. lawmakers that a deal to avert a U.S. default and reopen the partially shut government was within reach. Officials said an agreement to lift the government's $16.7 trillion borrowing limit was near late on Tuesday after two separate legislative efforts in the House of Representatives were buried by Republican rebellions, fraying market nerves. The assurances helped stoked some risk tolerance and pushed the dollar to a near a two-week high against the safe-haven yen even as it fell against the euro, sterling and the Australian dollar. "The markets appear nonplussed for the time being as 'headline fatigue' has clearly crept in and perhaps the greatest surprise to any US budget deal may simply be a tepid reaction by the market as most of the news appears to be priced in," said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX Strategy at BK Asset Management in New York. In early New York trade, the dollar was up 0.3 percent at 98.42 yen, not far from the Oct. 1 high of 98.72. It was down 0.2 percent against major currencies at 80.307, but still close to the previous session's peak of 80.703, its highest since Sept 18. The dollar had taken a hit from Fitch Ratings' warning that it could cut the U.S. sovereign rating from AAA, citing the political spat over the debt ceiling. "Everyone is quite confident there will be an agreement in the last minute if not before," said Niels Christensen, FX strategist at Nordea in London. "If they reach a deal it will help risk appetite, so we might see a move higher in dollar/yen," he said, adding that the pair could target the 100 mark on a deal. The euro was up 0.3 percent against the dollar at $1.3563, having hit a low of $1.3478 in the previous session, which was a two-week trough. The British pound gained 0.2 percent against the dollar to $1.6029 while the Australian dollar rose 0.1 percent to US$0.9532. Analysts said the prolonged debt debate would probably delay the U.S. Federal Reserve's move to begin trimming its bond-buying programme of stimulus for the economy. "By now we have had two weeks of a (partial) government shutdown and that is certainly going to have an impact on the economy and will affect monetary policy," said Thu Lan Nguyen, currency strategist at Commerzbank. "Until now our base case was that the Fed would taper in December but if we continue with the government shutdown the chances are increasing that tapering is postponed to some time in the first half of 2014." If Congress fails to reach a deal by Thursday, cheques would likely go out on time for a short while for everyone from bondholders to workers who are owed unemployment benefits. But analysts warn that a default on government obligations could quickly follow, potentially causing the U.S. financial sector to freeze up and threatening the global economy. Until the statutory borrowing limit is actually increased, investors are seen shunning Treasury bills maturing in the latter half of October because of the possibility of a technical default. Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints

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