Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Japan shares, dollar rise on hopes of US fiscal breakthrough

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Japan shares, dollar rise on hopes of US fiscal breakthrough
Oct 10th 2013, 01:39

Wed Oct 9, 2013 9:39pm EDT

  * Dollar extends gains against yen, euro      * Nikkei rises to one-week high, U.S. stock index futures up      * Gold falls, adding to Wed's loss, as dollar strengthens        By Dominic Lau      TOKYO, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Japanese stocks rose to a one-week  high and the dollar pulled further away from an eight-month low  on Thursday, as investors grew hopeful that Washington will end  the political wrangling and break the U.S. fiscal impasse that  has sapped market confidence.          Tokyo's Nikkei share average advanced 0.4 percent,  the highest point since the middle of last week. The U.S.  Standard & Poor's 500 E-mini futures added 0.2 percent,  indicating a firmer open on Wall Street on Thursday after the  S&P 500 index edged up 0.1 percent overnight.      House Democrats journeyed to the White House to discuss the  stalemate on Wednesday, and Senate Democrats and Republican  leaders in the House of Representatives will make separate visit  on Thursday amid intensifying concerns about the potential for  economic havoc.       Some Republicans and Democrats also floated the possibility  of a short-term increase in the debt limit to allow time for  broader negotiations on the budget.      Financial markets have been optimistic that a deal between  the two sides would be reached by the Oct. 17 deadline to avoid  an historic U.S. debt default.      But strains in short-term interest rates and funding markets  increased as the date drew ever closer, keeping investors on  edge.       "We think a resolution to the debt ceiling impasse is  increasingly likely to be a last minute affair, and market  anxiety seems likely to build up as we head into next week. We  expect to see dollar/yen test lower in the days ahead," analysts  at BNP Paribas wrote in a note.      MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan   was steady after gaining 0.5 percent in the  previous session.      The Asian gauge is flat on the year, though its 12-month  forward price-to-earnings ratio slipped to 11.7, a level not  seen in a month, according to Thomson Reuters Datastream.                  BREATHING SPACE       The dollar was up 0.2 percent at 97.535, adding to a  0.5 percent rise in the previous session - its best one-day  percentage rise in two weeks. It hit a five-week low against the  Japanese currency on Tuesday.      The minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting  revealing the decision not to reduce its $85 billion-a-month  bond-buying programme was a "close call" also helped buoy the  U.S. currency.       "This is consistent with our expectations that the Fed will  taper purchases at the upcoming December meeting. That said, the  ongoing federal government shutdown and upcoming expiration of  the debt ceiling suggests that the decision to taper could be  pushed into 2014," Barclays Capital said in a note.      "A sooner resolution to the fiscal risks that cloud the  outlook could keep December on the table, but a longer stalemate  could dampen growth sufficiently and lead to a tapering in the  first quarter of 2014 or later," it added.      Earlier on Wednesday, the dollar also gained on the news  that Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen will be  nominated as the next head of the U.S. central bank.      Although the news could have been seen as negative for the  dollar given that investors regard Yellen as a policy dove, it  helped soothe sentiment as the nomination was seen as reducing  uncertainty in a market gripped by fear of a U.S. debt default.      Against a basket of major currencies, the dollar   inched up 0.1 percent to 80.438, having climbed 0.4 percent on  Wednesday to move further away from an eight-month trough.      The Australian dollar gained a third of a U.S. cent  after a better-than-expected jobs report prompted investors to  pare back expectations of further easing by the country's  central bank.       In the wake of the U.S. fiscal concerns, Japanese investors  sold a record amount of foreign bonds on a net basis last week,  offloading nearly $23 billion worth.       In the commodity markets, as the dollar regained some of its  footing, gold eased 0.4 percent to around $1,301 an  ounce, adding to Wednesday's 0.9 percent decline.      U.S. crude prices eased 0.1 percent to about $101.5 a  barrel, extending a 1.9 percent tumble in the previous session  as the largest weekly buildup of U.S. stocks in a year weighed  further on a market already concerned that Washington's budget  standoff would curb demand in the world's biggest oil consumer.  
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