Friday, October 18, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. relief, China growth leaves shares at 5-yr high

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. relief, China growth leaves shares at 5-yr high
Oct 18th 2013, 08:35

Fri Oct 18, 2013 4:35am EDT

  * Focus turns to Fed stimulus prospects after government  shutdown      * China Q3 growth quickens to 7.8 pct yr/yr      * World shares at 5-year high as European, Asian stocks add  to gains      * Euro hits 8-1/2-month high vs dollar      * Gold heads for best week in two months        By Marc Jones      LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Expectations the Federal Reserve  will keep its stimulus in place for longer following the  confidence-sapping U.S. fiscal impasse pushed world shares to a  five-year high and the dollar to an eight-month low on Friday.       An acceleration of China's giant economy provided a further  boost for stock markets, as well as growth-linked commodities  such as oil and copper, as the prospect of an extended spell of  super-easy money and improving growth buoyed investors.      European shares opened 0.3 percent, with broadly  even gains for most of the region's major bourses leaving them  on course for a weekly gain of 1.75 percent and hovering at  their highest since mid-2008.      It followed a record close for the S&P 500 on Wall Street  and solid gains across most of Asia overnight.       As the U.S. debt drama faded, speculation grew over whether  the likely hit to growth from the recent wrangling would see the  Federal Reserve further delay cutting back its stimulus -  supporting riskier assets but weighing on the dollar.      "The debate on the timing of QE tapering by the Fed is  quickly moving to whether it will be Q1 2014 or Q2," said Derek  Halpenny, European head of global markets research for Bank of  Tokyo-Mitsubishi.      "The dollar has been left vulnerable by this uncertainty  especially in circumstances of growth stabilising in China."      The knock-on effect for Europe was a stronger euro   and pound. The euro zone's shared currency hit an 8-1/2  month high of $1.3690 in early trading as its recent strong run  following signs of a pick-up in the bloc continued.                    CHINA BULLS SHOP      Investors were relieved by data showing China's economy grew  7.8 percent in the third quarter, its fastest pace this year and  in line with expectations, as firmer foreign and domestic demand  lifted factory production and retail sales.       China's CSI300 index climbed 0.7 percent, while  Australian shares jumped to their highest level since  June 2008. Australian exports are closely linked to China's  economic fortunes.      "The Q3 GDP figure is in line with market expectations but  the uncertainty is whether the current recovery is sustainable,"  said Shen Jianguang, chief China economist with Mizuho  Securities in Hong Kong.      After Thursday's record close, U.S. S&P E-mini futures   pointed to further gains of around 0.2 percent when Wall  Street opens later in the day, though investors are likely to  retain some caution following Wednesday's last-minute debt deal.      While it pulled the world's largest economy back from the  brink of an historic default, it only funds the government until  Jan. 15 and raises the borrowing limit through to Feb. 7,  meaning another political showdown could be on cards.      Markets are bracing for a deluge of delayed U.S. data that  will pour out over the next week.       A simple estimate suggested the direct and indirect impact  of this month's shutdown would weigh on annualised  fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth by 0.4 percentage  point, analysts at Morgan Stanley wrote in a note to clients.       Following hefty gains this week, German Bunds were  steady in early trading, while in the euro zone periphery it was  only Portugal that was in the red, along with its main share  market, as its debt concerns continued.          Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries were trading  with a yield of 2.5667 percent by 0745 GMT, a two-week low.  Yields move inversely to prices.       In commodity markets, China's stronger growth helped copper   climb 0.6 percent to 7,273 a tonne and Brent oil futures   to hold above $109 a barrel after a build-up of crude  stocks in the United States pushed oil prices down overnight.      Meanwhile, gold took a breather after rallying almost  3 percent overnight - its biggest one-day rise in a month - as  the dollar weakened. It was steady at about $1,316 an ounce and  not far off a more-than one-week high reached on Thursday.  
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