Friday, October 4, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: RPT--GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. tensions keep dollar near 8-mth low, stocks sag

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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RPT--GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. tensions keep dollar near 8-mth low, stocks sag
Oct 4th 2013, 09:17

Fri Oct 4, 2013 5:17am EDT

  * Euro holds near 8-month high vs dollar, eyes 2013 peak      * European shares lower, world shares head for 2nd week in  red      * Nikkei hits a 4-week low, BOJ more upbeat on capex      * Bond markets remain largely relaxed about U.S. tensions        By Marc Jones      LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) - The government shutdown and  looming debt deadline in the United States kept the dollar  pinned at an eight-month low on Friday and drove world shares  towards a second week of losses.      With no clear progress in Washington, financial markets were  facing up to the possibility the deadlock could extend to Oct.  17, when the government will effectively run out of cash.      European shares opened weaker for a third day, down  0.3 percent in early trading after Asian markets were led lower  by a near 1 percent drop on Tokyo's Nikkei.       World stocks overall were down 0.15 percent  on the day and head for a second weekly loss in a row of 0.7  percent, but analysts saw that as of minor significance  considering their recent strength.      Instead, focus was mainly on the ailing dollar, which  hovered at an eight-month low against a basket of major  currencies following a 3.5 percent drop during the last three  weeks of political wrangling.      House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner was quoted on  Thursday as saying Washington will make sure it does not default  on its debt, though compromises may be needed.       Hitting the debt ceiling could lead to an unprecedented U.S.  default, an outcome the market assumes is unthinkable.      "By far the biggest risk is October 17. If the debt ceiling  is not raised beyond $17.6 trillion words like default are going  to start rearing their head," said Neil Williams, chief  economist at fund manager Hermes.       "Is the world's biggest economy really going to default on  its debt when the wheels of the Fed's printing presses are still  turning? I highly doubt it."      With the dollar firmly on the back foot, the euro held at  $1.3622, within striking distance of its 2013 peak of  $1.3711 following a week of largely encouraging data.      The U.S. shutdown delayed the closely-watched nonfarm  payrolls data, normally out on Friday and a key factor in  Federal Reserve deliberations on when to scale back its  stimulus. The postponement had no noticeable market impact.      Several Fed officials are due to speak later in the day  after two senior policymakers warned on Thursday of dire  consequences if the country defaulted on its debt. One said the  Fed's monetary policy was being kept ultra-easy to help offset  the harm caused by the wrangling.      In Asian trading, Tokyo's Nikkei ended down 0.94 percent  taking its cue from the U.S. S&P 500, which suffered its  ninth loss in 11 sessions overnight, after the Bank of Japan  maintained its policy stance and pointed to the country's slowly  improving economy.                  ITALIAN ASSETS SHINE      Debt markets have remained largely relaxed about the U.S.  tensions, and yields on benchmark U.S. Treasuries   and German Bunds were slightly higher in early  trading after a largely steady week.       Italian bonds extending this week's relief rally after Prime  Minister Enrico Letta's government won a confidence vote in  parliament. Italian shares in Milan also outperformed,  up 0.8 percent versus falls of 0.2 percent in London and  Frankfurt.      In commodity markets, trading remained choppy. Brent crude   edged up 0.2 percent to around $109.27 a barrel,  reversing a 0.2 percent decline overnight after slower U.S.  service sector growth in September compounded worries about  demand for raw materials.      Gold was steady at $1,316.51 an ounce while copper  prices stabilised at $7,202.25 a tonne after tumbling  1.3 percent on Thursday.  
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