Thursday, May 24, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Chile cbank says ready to act if risks materialize

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 1-Chile cbank says ready to act if risks materialize
May 24th 2012, 14:04

Thu May 24, 2012 10:04am EDT

  * Bank sees medium-term inflation risks persisting      * Bank seen holding key rate steady at 5.0 pct this year      * Europe crisis poses "significant" risk          By Moises Avila           SANTIAGO, May 24 (Reuters) - Chile is well prepared to face  financial turbulence, and short-term inflation risks have eased,  but monetary policy must be prudent and the central bank is  ready to act if global economic risks materialize, bank  president Rodrigo Vergara said on Thursday.           The bank is no longer seen raising its key interest rate   by year-end, and the rate is now seen steady at its  current 5.0 percent in December and in mid-2013, a central bank  poll of traders showed on Wednesday.          Vergara said inflation risks persisted in the medium-term,  adding the bank has room to act on monetary policy.           "Given financial and trade interconnections, it is  unreasonable to think that external events will not have an  effect on our country," Vergara told a business forum, adding  the depreciation of Chile's peso had been less acute  than currencies in other economies.           "The bank's board is watching these events carefully and  with concern," he said. "Monetary policy must be prudent and be  ready to act if one or more risks materialize."                    The central bank last week held its key rate steady for a  fourth month running last week, citing risks associated with the  euro zone's financial turmoil, a tight local labor market and  easing short-term domestic inflation expectations in its  decision.             The bank is expected to watch events in Greece and elsewhere  in Europe, although some see a rate hike toward the end of the  year as the economy gradually slows.          Chile's economy grew more slowly in the first quarter than  in the prior three months as an expected slowdown took hold, the  central bank said on Friday, reinforcing expectations the bank  will keep its key interest rate steady in coming months.                "The Chilean economy is showing activity and demand growth  rates more in line with trend, but they continue to be above  forecast," Vergara said, adding Chile's dependence on emerging  markets like China, a top copper consumer, was helping to offset  Europe's impact.              Consumer credit had shown signs of moderation, he added, but  said commercial loans continued to rise.              Should the euro zone crisis deepen and prices for  commodities such as Chile's main export, copper, fall  further, some analysts say a sharper slowdown in Chile's small  and export-dependent economy is nearly inevitable and that rate  cuts are possible.  
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