Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real hit by threat of cenbank dollar buys

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real hit by threat of cenbank dollar buys
Jul 3rd 2012, 22:11

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Tue Jul 3, 2012 6:11pm EDT

  * Brazil cenbank always considering to buy dollars-official      * Mexican peso flat as investors wary of election dispute      * Brazil real drops 1.58 pct, Mexican peso flat        SAO PAULO/MEXICO CITY, July 3 (Reuters) - Brazil's real sank  on Tuesday after a central bank official suggested policymakers  could buy more dollars to weaken the currency in order to boost  exports. Other Latin American markets were mixed.      Aldo Mendes, the central bank's director of monetary policy,  told local news agency Agencia Estado that disappointing  industrial production figures in Brazil make it more likely the  government will seek a weaker real to support exporters.      He said policymakers are constantly considering the purchase  of dollars on the spot market to mop up excess liquidity. Such  moves tend to weaken the real.      Last month Brazil was selling currency swaps to boost the  real after it slumped to a three-year low, but Mendes' comments  erased early gains in the real on the back of bets that the  European Central Bank will cut interest rates on Thursday.      "To say that the central bank may intervene buying dollars  and not only selling (currency swaps) caused the market to  immediately turn around," said Italo dos Santos from Icap  brokerage.      The Brazilian real  lost 1.58 percent to bid at  2.0184 per dollar.      The real has been pressured by slumping growth in Latin  America's top economy.      Industrial production in Brazil shrank in May for the third  straight month, supporting the case for more interest rate cuts  and highlighting a persistent challenge for policymakers as they  struggle to revive a slowing economy.       The Chilean and Colombian pesos led gains among Latin   American currencies on hopes that the European Central Bank will  cut interest rates to a record low on Thursday in a move that  could drive prices higher for commodities like oil and copper.          Chile's peso jumped 1.27 percent to close at its  strongest level in more than a month as the price of copper  , the country's main export, hit a seven-week high.      Meantime, the Mexican peso was flat as investors  warily eyed the potential for a dispute over Sunday's  presidential election.       Mexico's presidential election runner-up, leftist Andres  Manuel Lopez Obrador, said on Tuesday he would ask the country's  election authorities to recount the votes from Sunday's contest,  saying it was riddled with fraud.       "Investors aren't taking excessive positions until this is  all over," said Antonio Magana, a currency trader at  Interacciones brokerage in Mexico City. "There's a little bit of  nervousness."       President-elect Enrique Pena Nieto won a quick count of the  vote by 6.5 percentage points, much less than expected, and his  Institutional Revolutionary Party failed to capture a majority  in Congress, undermining market bets that he could move swiftly  to pass economic reforms.          Latin American FX prices from Reuters at 2032 GMT   Currencies                          daily %  yearly %                                        change    change                              Latest               Brazil real                2.0184     -1.58     -7.46                                                   Mexico peso               13.3292      0.01      4.80                                                   Argentina peso*            5.9400      0.34    -20.37                                                   Chile peso               494.6000      1.27      4.99                                                   Peru sol                   2.6410      0.42      2.12                                                   * Argentine peso's rate between                         brokerages  
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