Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies rally as U.S. fiscal deal announced

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies rally as U.S. fiscal deal announced
Oct 16th 2013, 18:03

Wed Oct 16, 2013 2:03pm EDT

  RIO DE JANEIRO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies  rallied on Wednesday as U.S. Senate leaders announced a  bipartisan deal to raise the government debt ceiling and avert a  historic default.      The Brazilian real  climbed more than 1 percent  to as much as 2.1551 per dollar, its strongest intraday level in  four months, as congressional aides said the U.S. House of  Representatives and the Senate are expected to approve the deal  later on Wednesday.       That would clear the way for President Barack Obama to sign  the bill into law before Thursday, when the U.S. Treasury says  it will exhaust its ability to issue debt.      The Mexican peso rose 0.9 percent, while the Chilean  peso climbed 0.6 percent, as an imminent resolution to  the U.S. fiscal impasse boosted investors' appetite for risk in  general. A U.S. debt default would have roiled markets across  the globe.      However, the tide could soon turn against emerging market  currencies when markets start to focus on the timing of an  expected withdrawal of U.S. stimulus measures, analysts warned.      "We believe that the eventual resolution to the U.S. debt  crisis will provide a further near-term boost to emerging market  currencies," strategists with Brown Brothers Harriman wrote in a  research note.      "While uncertainty about Fed tapering will likely return to  the spotlight at some point, we look for a potential period of  emerging market gains after U.S. fiscal policy risks have been  mitigated," they added.        Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would delay the  tapering of its bond buying program into 2014 had been growing  in the past few weeks as the U.S. fiscal crisis added  uncertainty to the performance of the U.S. economy.        Latin America FX prices at 1745 GMT:          Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.1608     0.83    -5.59                                                  Mexico peso               12.8730     0.90    -0.07                                                  Chile peso               495.7000     0.61    -3.43                                                  Colombia peso           1883.4000    -0.03    -6.23                                                  Peru sol                   2.7590     0.36    -7.54                                                  Argentina peso             5.8400     0.00   -15.88     Argentina peso             9.7000    -1.03   -30.10  
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